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HOME • MANAGE SUBSCRIPTIONS • MEDIA KIT
Is Web 2.0 Bad for Google?
by Mark Simon, Monday, March 12, 2007, 7:30 PM

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Since the start of '07, Yahoo's price per share has jumped about 20%. From Feb. 1 through last Thursday, Google's share price dropped by around $50. That certainly looks like a reversal of fortune for the two giants.

Of course, Yahoo's uptick is largely a product of its re-org and its Panama launch -- both signs that business is getting back to where it should be, and not an indication that Yahoo will crush Google. Google's stock dip, meanwhile, might just be Google coming back to earth after being slightly overvalued. Neither Google nor Yahoo's change in stock price needs to signify a revolution.

But even so, I do see a revolution in the works. It seems that Web 2.0 favors media companies, and can wreak havoc on search-focused ones. That's good news for Yahoo, but spells real challenges ahead for Google.

To see what I'm talking about, look to Google/YouTube.

In the summer before Google bought YouTube, Google Video trailed as the eighth-most popular source for video online, according to comScore. MySpace, Yahoo, and YouTube took the top three slots. As many industry experts have it, Google bought YouTube to buy into a video market it couldn't crack.

As a search company, Google, not surprisingly, was facing a popularity problem in online video. Search destinations are places where you find what you're looking for, and then jump off into content that lives elsewhere. Search engines provide a wealth of navigational information, but they provide little in the way of the richer experience you'd associate with video.

Which is why, when they're seeking video, video consumers would not tend to associate video with search engines. They'll associate video with sites that already do provide other kinds of rich experience -- sites that are rich in their own content, like MySpace, YouTube, or Yahoo.

To overcome that content barrier, Google bought YouTube. But buying its way into video created an entirely new problem for Google as a search engine. If video is a richer experience than most online content, then video search needs to convey more than just raw information about what a video will contain. It needs to convey the whole experience that a video offers. It needs to bring searchers to the video itself.

Which is why video clips live within video search results, in a way Web pages tend not to live within text-search results. That, though, is a copyright nightmare waiting to happen, as there's little to distinguish directing searchers to a clip, and grabbing the clip and hosting it yourself.

We got the first glimpses of that problem last year, when adult publisher Perfect 10, which brought a suit against Google claiming that, in presenting thumbnails of Perfect 10's pictures within Google Image Search, Google was stealing Perfect 10's content. A federal judge agreed.

Newspapers' complaints against Google News, and a pending lawsuit against Google Book Search, are further examples. Google argues that they're providing their searchers with information; the newspaper and book publishers claim that Google is stealing copyrighted content.

YouTube's additional problem of user-generated piracy is an extra twist to the story, but it's still a variation on the same theme. YouTube's piracy problems, after all, only exist because it's so easy to search for any kind of material -- pirated material included -- within YouTube. By providing the capability to easily search for copyrighted material, YouTube --which is to say, Google -- makes YouTube a more effective hosting service for pirated content, even if it conducts that hosting against its will. That opens Google up to copyright complaints.

And so search engines find themselves stuck between a rock and a hard place in Web 2.0. Media consumers aren't just looking to find material on the Internet any more. They're looking to have a total media experience, and to have that experience within one place. And as that trend grows, the line between search results and hosting will get fuzzier, and the copyright issues will proliferate.

For media sites like Yahoo and MSN, which have large amounts of unique content, these problems are far less serious. First, their unique content creates other avenues of monetization, should copyright issues ever threaten a part of their search business. Second, experience as a publisher makes it easier for them-both because of technical experience and corporate culture-to send searchers away from copyrighted content, and toward the content they own themselves. Pure search engines have neither of these options.

To be sure, an ability to help searchers navigate will only become more valuable as time goes on. Google is the leading provider of that navigation, which is why I predict a very healthy future for Google, for a very long time. But there are undeniable troubles ahead for search-only players. And as search and content leaders, Web 2.0 might provide portals like Yahoo and MSN with advantages that Google doesn't have.

1 person recommends this article. 

3 comments on "Is Web 2.0 Bad for Google?"

  1. Sean Mulholland from JWT Specialized Communication
    commented on: March 14, 2007 at 3:02 PM
    I think it depends on how you look at Web 2.0. Blogs and whatnot don't necessarily provide rich experiences any more than a traditional website (commenting isn't exactly 'interactive') yet they're almost universally considered one of the cornerstones of Web 2.0. Some of the biggest and best barely use images, let alone provide rich user experiences. The same can be said for Wikipedia - for the 99.5% of users that never edit a page it's about as interactive and rich as a website from 1996 - straight text and hyperlinks.

    I don't see Web 2.0 as rich multimedia portals. That's Web 1.0 - the idea that we'd all gather around major portals like people once gathered around ABC, NBC, and CBS.

    Google is the gateway to Web 2.0, and while there are loads of copyright issues, I think that's more a problem with legislation needing an update to meet the realities of a globally networked world (copyright law 2.0?). Being the tour guide to the ever expanding user generated web (2.0) says to me that it's anything but bad for Google.

  2. Arthur Barbato from Advertising Database
    commented on: March 13, 2007 at 12:06 PM
    Very thought provoking article Mark, thank you!

  3. Zenophon Abraham from Sports Business Simulations
    commented on: March 13, 2007 at 3:04 AM
    Greetings,

    I read this post with interest, expecting an engineering-based rationale behind the title implying that social media would in some way harm Google.

    I didn't get that.

    Instead, what I was presented with was an -- with all due respect -- illogical lead-in to your issues with the now-tired subject of YouTube and copyrights. Sigh!

    I'm going to go for the juggular. Your argument is not logical because.... read this

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Do you have strong opinions and inside knowledge about the topic of this article -- and do you want to share your insights, observations and points of view regularly with the readers of MediaPost? To be considered as a MediaPost contributing writer, please send pertinent info about your credentials, plus several column ideas and one example of your writing on the topic, to pfine@mediapost.com. Please see our editorial guidelines here first.

MARK SIMON
  • Mark Simon is vice president of industry relations at Didit, an agency for search engine marketing and auctioned media management based in New York. You can reach Mark at msimon@didit.com.


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