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HOME • MANAGE SUBSCRIPTIONS • MEDIA KIT
Strike Talk: Big Media Looking For Writers' Crushing Defeat?
by Wayne Friedman, Wednesday, November 21, 2007, 2:00 PM

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Major media companies are probably just like the New England Patriots these days.

This past weekend, the Patriots, already beating the Buffalo Bills 42-7, decided to throw for a touchdown on the fourth down. They made it, which fostered much criticism against Pats coach Bill Belichick.

But there's a silver lining:  "I think he showed restraint by not going for two," quipped Dan Le Batard on ESPN's "Pardon the Interruption."

Big media companies may feel in control -- in no hurry to do a deal to solve the writers' strike (even if they have scheduled some new talks). All of which says they want it all. Why? Have you seen the stock prices of any media company recently? There's a race there. Which will hit bottom first -- low-rated TV shows or low company stock prices?

Is it wrong to get the most out of your football team -- or your media company?  Surveys show the public believes the writers' strike is the proper action. Running up the score? The only losers might be sitting with a gin and tonic and a couple of tickets in a Las Vegas sports book.

Media companies will monitor the public closely. Will there be consumer backlash come February if "Grey's Anatomy" and "CSI" are still in reruns? The companies are betting there won't be, especially when there are lots of entertainment distractions to make up the slack -- cable TV, video games, the Internet, as well as a load of TV reruns yet to be seen by most TV viewers. 

Using the entertainment glut as leverage, one wonders if media companies won't go for it all -- just like the federal government did back in the 1980s when they fired all the air traffic controllers, never to hire them back again. All to change the dynamics of union activities. The government did it to prove a point. Will the networks do the same?

Think about this: The biggest TV show in the country, "American Idol," doesn't have one writer in the writers' union.

This doesn't mean to say TV networks are abandoning scripted programming. But considering the new entertainment environment -- a crazy explosion of media and platforms that are well out of the control of big media -- those big entertainment companies are acting as if they are being backed into a corner. 

And, if they have the chance, you can bet they'll be running up the score.

1 person recommends this article. 

3 comments on "Strike Talk: Big Media Looking For Writers' Crushing Defeat?"

  1. eric davis from prudential ct realty
    commented on: November 22, 2007 at 12:58 AM
    what if? what if this strike drags into 2008 and viewers start to realize it is having an impact on their lives? what if the writers remain steadfast and refuse to be 'crushed'? what will the networks do then? will viewers embrace MMA fighting, a whole lot more reality, extra helpings of dateline predator, the lost episodes of viva laughlin, celebrity (they need work too) game shows, and more. i can envision a future world of the Today show expanding to seven hours a day to fill prime time, hockey night in canada, and a james lipton reality show on the best paris prostitutes. but things would never get to that point right? writers are vital to the industry right? at least the olympics from red china will be here soon, usa! usa! usa!

  2. Terry Wall from Terry Wall Consulting Grp
    commented on: November 21, 2007 at 5:08 PM
    Hey, Wayne...are we talking about the same media companies that allow shows like "The Sopranos" and "Lost" to go on hiatuses so long that when they return to the air, they've lost most of their audience??? Or as Dr. Phil might say, "how's that workin' for ya??"

    I'm sick and tired of reality programming and just wish that (what seems to be) the silent majority would rise up in arms and tell these media bafoons to get off their asses and get the writers back into the studios. Otherwise, people are going to start reading books again! Now, there's a novel (pun intended) idea!!!!

    Out.

  3. Thom Kennon from Wunderman
    commented on: November 21, 2007 at 4:22 PM
    Uh, well here's another scenario... people actually like original dramatic and comedic content. And they (we!) will start finding it - very quickly - in other places. Namely, of course, behind closed doors and ONLINE. Not sure what it will look like but my guess is the music labels are humming a salvation song ...

    The media companies may think they are sitting in the catbird seat but the advertisers are going to start wondering come, oh say, February, when there are no "sweeps" and re-runs of the "Office" are the most viewed shows on YouTube and people are spending as much time on Facebook as they usta on TV.

    I'm a digital guy, but, c'mon: I can't believe I'm the only one seeing the invisible hand-writing on the wall.

    Hell, for crying out loud --- freaking e-mail is even coming back (Yahoo and Google, call home ...)

    TK

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WAYNE FRIEDMAN
  • Wayne Friedman is West Coast Editor of MediaPost.



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