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For Coke, Brand Love Is Blind
by Gord Hotchkiss, Thursday, August 28, 2008, 10:00 AM

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In 2003, Read Montague had a "why" question that was nagging at him. If Pepsi was chosen by the  majority of people in a blind taste test, why did Coke have the lion's share of the cola market? It didn't make sense. If Pepsi tasted better, why wasn't it the market leader?

Fortunately, Read wasn't just any cola consumer idly pondering the mysteries of brown sugared water. He had at his disposal a rather innovative methodology to explore his "why" question. Dr. Read Montague was the director of Baylor University's Neuroimaging Lab and he just happened to have a spare multi-million dollar MRI machine kicking around. MRI machines allow us to see which parts of the brain "light up" when we undertake certain activities. Although fMRI scanning's roots are in medicine, lately the technology has been applied with much fanfare to the world of market research.  Montague is one of the pioneer's of this area, due in part to the 2003 Coke /Pepsi study, which went but the deceptively uninteresting title, "Neural Correlates of Behavioral Preference for Culturally Familiar Drinks" (Note: Montague has since picked up a knack for catchier titles. His recent book is  "Why Choose this Book? How We Make Decisions" ).

Believing in Brands

In my last two columns, I talked about how our emotions and beliefs are inseparably wrapped up in many brand relationships. The strongest brands evoke a visceral response, beyond the reach of reason, coloring our entire engagement and relationship with them. It doesn't matter if these brands are better than their competitors. The important thing is that we believe they are better, and these beliefs are reinforced by emotional cues.

This certainly seemed to be the case with Coke and Pepsi. The market split was beyond reason. In fact, the irrationality of the market split caused Coca Cola to make the biggest marketing blunder in history in 1985. A brief recap of marketing history is in order here, because it highlights one of the challenges with market research: namely, that there's a huge gulf of difference between what we say and what we do, thanks to the mysterious depths of our sub-cortical mind. It also sheds light on the strength of our brand beliefs.

Coke's Crisis

Through the '70s and '80s, Coke's market share lead over Pepsi was eroding to the point when, in the mid '80s, Coke's lead was only a few points over their rivals. This was due in no small part to the success of the Pepsi Challenge advertising campaign, where the majority of cola drinkers indicated they preferred the taste of Pepsi in blind taste tests. This wasn't just a marketing ploy. Coke did their own blind taste tests and the results were the same. If people didn't know what they were drinking, they preferred Pepsi. It was panic time in Atlanta.

Enter new Coke. It was a lighter, sweeter drink that was possibly the most thoroughly tested consumer product in history. Coke was preparing to kill the golden goose, and it wasn't a decision they were taking lightly. If they were changing the secret recipe, they were making damned sure they were right before they rolled it out to market. So they tested, and tested, and tested again Coke meticulously did their home work, according to all the standard market research metrics. The results were consistent and overwhelming. In the tests, people loved New Coke. Not only did it blow the original Coke formulation away, it also trounced Pepsi. They asked people if they liked New Coke. Yes! Would you buy New Coke. Yes! Would this become your new favorite soft drink? Yes, Yes and Yes! Feeling exceptionally confident, Coke bit the bullet and rolled out New Coke. And the results, as they say, are now history.

Classic Coke's Comeback

On April 23, 1985, Coke shocked the world by announcing the new formulation and ceasing production on the original formula. And, at first, it appeared the move was a success. In many markets, people bought new Coke at the same levels they had bought original Coke. They kept saying they preferred the taste. But there was one critical market that new Coke had to win over, and that wasn't going to be easy. In the Southeast, the home of Coke, people weren't so easy to convince. There, ardent Coke fans were mounting a counteroffensive. By May, the "Old Coke" backlash had spread to other parts of the U.S. and was picking up steam. Soon, a "black Coke" market emerged when deprived Coke drinkers started bring in the original Coke from overseas markets where the old formulation was still being bottled. By July, the Old Coke counteroffensive was so strong, the company capitulated and reintroduced the original formulation as Coke Classic. Within months, Coke Classic was outselling both New Coke and Pepsi and began racking up the highest sales increases for Coke in decades, rebuilding Coke's lead in the market.

Although it eventually worked out in their favor, Coke executives were puzzled by the whole episode. President Don Keough admitted in a press conference, "There is a twist to this story which will please every humanist and will probably keep Harvard professors puzzled for years, The simple fact is that all the time and money and skill poured into consumer research on the new Coca-Cola could not measure or reveal the deep and abiding emotional attachment to original Coca-Cola felt by so many people."

Keough was amazingly prescient in this statement, although he had the university wrong. Almost two decades later, it would be a professor at Baylor, not Harvard, that would dig further into the puzzle. Next column, we'll see what one of the very first neuromarketing studies uncovered when Montague replicated the Pepsi Challenge in an fMRI machine.

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Gord Hotchkiss will be there speaking during "Conference Opens and Opening Remarks" on December 03 at 8:45 AM. Top executives will be there. Will you?
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5 comments on "For Coke, Brand Love Is Blind"

  1. fred leo from Ad Giants
    commented on: January 08, 2009 at 9:08 AM
    I still have a button that reads "I love the great new taste" because when I started in advertising one of my first assignments was doing newspaper ads and radio spots for new Coke. The memory that sticks most stubbornly is listening to hour after hour of mall intercept sampling tapes just to find sixty seconds of positive comments. My impression was that new Coke was dictated, and so was not appreciated, regardless of actual taste.

  2. Gordon Hotchkiss from Enquiro
    commented on: August 28, 2008 at 7:32 PM
    All valid points, but somewhat tangential to the point, which is the loyalty of Coke drinkers who rallied against new Coke. The point of the column, which will be continued next week, is not so much about market share but about brand loyalty. In hindsight, my choice of words in the opening paragraph was probably a bit misleading.

    And to Jonathon, hang on. The purpose of the series is to tie branding into our search interactions, which means I'll be seemingly veering off course. It's not always bad to think outside the search "box" now and again.

  3. Dave Kohl from First In Promotions
    commented on: August 28, 2008 at 1:44 PM
    Scott said it before I could. While I understand Gord's points in theory, the Coke vs. Pepsi "argument" is not valid because of the many situations where consumers have no choice. I drink a cola mostly when I am eating out, and that is when I don't have a choice. I wish others would join me in being offended when I read statistics based on something I have no choice about.

    Another example is the cable TV networks touting they "serve over 20 million homes". Same crap, different day. The cable company forces me to pay for channels I don't want and don't watch, but to a potential advertiser I count as a statistic.

    When one product is clearly CHOSEN over another, it is worth reading and writing about.

  4. Scott Howard from SCLOHO
    commented on: August 28, 2008 at 11:05 AM
    I have a friend that used to run the local ad agency for Pepsi 20 years ago and we were discussing this last year.

    Coke and Pepsi are much closer than you can imagine if you were able to look at the entire sales and marketing numbers from both companies.

    There is a big competition in exclusive arrangements. Most restaurants will offer you one or the other due to the exclusive deals that are cut. Coke can sell their syrup for less because of the lower sugar content than Pepsi. This translates into longer shelf life which means selling Coke syrup in larger quantities than Pepsi can which results in lower costs (less frequent deliveries) thus giving Coke an advantage.

    So all these fountain sales are in effect a marketing tool for Coke. Pepsi leads in can and bottles sales I've been told simply because people prefer the taste.

    So as far as branding, when you offer your consumers no choice (in a restaurant), you control the marketplace. Where there is a choice, Coke often loses.

  5. Jonathan Cohen from LatinMedios.com
    commented on: August 28, 2008 at 10:16 AM
    Great article, left me wanting more while making me forget that this post is supposed to somehow be related to SEARCH. Maybe we'll find out next week how it's all connected...

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GORD HOTCHKISS
  • Gord Hotchkiss is the president of Enquiro, a search engine marketing firm. He loves to explore the strategic side of search and is programming chair of the Search Insider Summits, as well as a frequent speaker at Search Engine Strategies and Ad:Tech. Contact him here.


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