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HOME • MANAGE SUBSCRIPTIONS • MEDIA KIT
Stop Blaming The Economy
by David Koretz, Thursday, October 16, 2008, 9:45 AM

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It is our fault.

The current growth issues facing online advertising are problems that we created and have let persist.

There is no question that the economy has been completely mismanaged. There is no denying the $14 trillion in U.S. debt, and there is no sugarcoating the 40% drop in the Dow over the last 12 months that wiped out trillions in shareholder value.

Yet, much as we would like to believe, the growth challenges in online advertising have little to do with the recent economic struggles.

According to IDC, the average user spends 32.7 hours each week on the Internet, and only 16.4 hours watching TV. So while Internet usage is double that of television, spend lags dramatically. In 2008, Internet advertising revenue will only be one fifth the size of television advertising, a third as big as newspaper advertising, and only half of magazine advertising, according to a recent Carat report.

Marketers are an opportunistic bunch. If there was money to be made by shifting spend, they would do so. So why aren't dollars shifting more rapidly?

As any drug addict will tell you, admitting you have a problem is the first step.

For the last several years we have been drinking from a fire hose, with perpetual growth our presumed destiny. Every chance they got, online publishers explained why spend would keep shifting online and "follow the eyeballs."

We cannot take credit for a lot of the growth, though. We rode the wave of increasing broadband penetration around the world, and watched time spent online skyrocket. As Web technology got better, we benefited from the ability to display high-quality video online, and we piggybacked off the tools that enabled Rich Internet applications.

Our biggest accomplishment as an industry was targeting. We brought an unprecedented level of data and analytics to the business of marketing. We layered data point on top of data point until we could measure every page view, click, demographic and behavior.

Yet all the science came at a price. We forgot about the true purpose of advertising: to create an emotional connection with the consumer that drives sales.

Let's face it; most banner advertising is about as effective as abstinence training in Wasilla, Ala. Text ads are not much better. They work fine for search, but look ugly and out of place on content sites.

90% of online ad dollars are spent on two media that fail to drive memorable engagement.

So what is the solution?

No more metrics: We need a return to basics. Marketers create endless metrics to measure success. Most of it is a distraction and a total waste of time.

There is only one metric in marketing that really matters: revenue.

Advertising may cause an immediate revenue impact, or it may have a delayed impact, but if it does not drive revenue, it was not successful.

Unleash the artists: As a technology guy, it pains me to say this, but we need more artists in this industry. We need more creative folks dreaming up ad formats that create a memorable user experience and drive consumer action. We need to create new ad formats that leverage the interactivity advantage of the Web.

Most importantly, we need some sex appeal. We need the type of ads that get talked about around the watercooler Monday morning.

Drive transactions: The Web is the best platform for getting consumers from awareness to transaction the world has ever seen, yet few advertisers leverage the Web as a transaction platform.

Publishers are still stuck in a page view and CPM world. This narrow focus ignores the opportunities that lie in leveraging the targeting information we have to help consumers find products and complete meaningful transactions.

College sites should assist you in finding a school, coach you on writing an essay, and even let you submit an application. Sports sites should let you buy merchandise without leaving the site. Dating sites should... well, use your imagination.

If we stop blaming the economy, and focus our energy inward, we can invent the ad models that will be both memorable and capable of driving transactions.

As the thought leaders in Internet advertising, we have the opportunity to position our industry for the next 10 years of growth. But first we need an honest dialogue about what we are doing right and where we could benefit from major improvements.

What do you think we need to do better? Let me know in the comments.

 


1 person recommends this article. 

24 comments on "Stop Blaming The Economy"

  1. Andre Corliss from BooksLive
    commented on: November 21, 2008 at 7:34 PM
    Can anyone REALLY point to any entity besides Google & Yahoo! making decent money on the internet? Amazon's been trying for years and still barely makes a profit (if they even do yet; I don't pat enough attention to know).

    Every day, someone else has something to say about what works, what doesn't; text ads are no good, banner ads work; all caps is shouting, u/l case is friendly; more consumers are online but spending less money; fewer consumers are spending more time online.

    And I agree with an earlier commentor that the snide remark about "abstinence training in Wasilla, AK" was inappropriate; in fact, it pretty much diminished any credibility the writer may have had. He obviously has little or no propriety.

  2. Josh Adams from AdverMotion
    commented on: October 20, 2008 at 11:57 AM
    As a publisher, a new publisher, trying to sell advertisers on metrics is near impossible as for one the history isn't there. What we are trying to do is show that we are leaders in innovative new Internet marketing opportunities for our clients that will absolutely give them the targeted, opt-in demographic they are seeking and that they can place their brand continuously on or even in the content our traffic views. Our site is similar to TV, in that we can still have clients advertise to viewers in a similar fashion to that of TV. We have have exciting content like the most popular stations and niche content like MTV allowing pre, in-stream, and post roll advertisements. We also stream tons of live video footage and can have marketers 'watermark' their brand on our live stream, or build in our flash player messages to the viewer, product placement and so on.

    If there are any marketers seeking newer more effective ways to target the active 21-35 year old demographic, the cool, fashionable, influence-able 'what economy problem?' surfers of Internet then I encourage you to contact me: josh@baroptic.com

  3. Anthony Bontrager from 1Cast, LLC
    commented on: October 19, 2008 at 5:24 PM
    Decent article. Would have been better without the pithy political comments.

  4. Jason Heller from Laredo Group
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 7:23 PM
    David you hit the nail on the head when you say: "Advertising may cause an immediate revenue impact, or it may have a delayed impact, but if it does not drive revenue, it was not successful.". Hey, nobody advertises for fun. The only difference between DR and brand advertising is the duration of time between the ad exposure and the influence that drives consumers to buy "stuff".

    I agree with a lot of what you said about the lack of creativity, about the lack of engagement amid a river of those preaching it. I agree that many underutilize the transactional opportunities. But I hope you are not advocating digital media solely as a DR platform?

    Marketing is about multiple touches that create a chain of influence - I say don't do away with measurement, but focus on measuring the influence chain and attribution to revenue and correlation to business growth. The multiple attribution protocol systems are emerging and will be evolving. How do we make them cross channel to include non-online channels, would be my billion dollar question. What channels influence and what channels activate and where does the value get assigned to each?

    The problem is not publishers being "stuck in a page view and CPM world", it is that they got drunk on the currency of gross impressions and not audience. The value of online impressions continues to degrade no matter which direction the CPM's move. If publishers can offer consumers a value exchange - compelling content and experiences in exchange for attention, why should they be held to a standard of tracking immediate and online-only transactions? If that trend continues we will lose all the quality content online and consumers will have horrible experiences which will reflect in massive changes of behavior. Of course I don't see that happening.

  5. Haren Ghosh from Factor TG
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 5:39 PM
    Very interesting discussion!

    However, I believe the overall advertisement effectiveness measurement follows a very complex dynamics. Often advertisers or agencies are running a multimedia campaign in which one medium modifies the effectiveness of others. If you look at online medium in isolation, you may very well find that the medium is producing a positive or negative impact on consumers’ behavior or attitude, but you will never know if that has happened due to the interaction effect of other media. Also, if you look at any single media (online medium for instance) and find a large positive effect, you may get tempted (I have seen that happens in the market) to choose to invest more on that at the expense of other media (e.g., TV, Print, Radio, Direct Mail, Billboard, etc.). Then at the next quarter you may find a drop on everything, because now you paid less attention on the Offline. The challenge is how you look at everything at the same time (not just online) and attribute advertising effectiveness to all different media that are driving sales or consumers’ behavior and attitude.

  6. Scott Broomfield from Veeple, Inc.
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 5:29 PM
    David and Stephen -

    I like your guy's thread here. What it is really about is storytelling. If the story isn't compelling then no one will care. Also, think about CPC, CPE (engage) and CPS (Share). How relevant would it be to have a Cost per Shre pricing to generate revenue. Nothing more targeted than to have Bob share a link with Sue who shares the link with Sam. It should all be interactive (not banner), engaging, relevant and non-intrusive. Have a great weekend.

    Best, Scott - CEO of Veeple

  7. Steve Noble from Adfare Marketing
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 3:12 PM
    I agree with most of what you say. We need to "make" things happen. I don't agree with the comment on lack of effectiveness with banner advertising. The ads in the past are guilty of the things you mention in the article, more creativity etc. Our company has built some very effective banner ads and we know what works and what doesn't. I lived through the Carter days of inflation and negativity. I thank Dale Canegie courses and lots of PMA books that kept me plugging. Our state of the economy is similar today. Everyone including the media need to focus on the good things and address the good things not the doom and gloom we have been hearing for the last 60 days. There are 3 people in the world... those that wait for things to happen, those that make things happen and those that walk around saying "hey man what's happening"? Everyone should ask which one best descibes their own way of thinking.

  8. David Koretz from BlueTie Inc.
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 10:48 AM
    @Peter, Well said!

  9. David Koretz from BlueTie Inc.
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 10:47 AM
    @Kevin, I agree that the entire ad process needs to be looked at.

    I still feel that ads should not "be designed to generate clicks." They should be designed to generate revenue.

  10. Peter Clough from NAvteq Media Solutions
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 10:21 AM
    The most radical idea in this piece comes in the middle - where the core and completely correct statement "If it does not drive revenue it was not successful" is immediately followed by "Unleash the Artists".

    The cynic may say, "Yeah, right, because artists care SO MUCH about revenue." But that misses the point. What artists DO care about is the communication of ideas. Whether in poetry or painting, by using sympathetic strings or aggressive fonts, Artists are communicators and When good ideas are well communicated, revenue follows.

    Unleash the Artists!

  11. Kevin Lee from Didit
    commented on: October 17, 2008 at 9:29 AM
    One comment on text ads (or banners for that matter). Many marketers don't seem to include the landing page as a critical part of the ad, the part that creates the "drive memorable engagement." Who wrote the rule that memorable engagement only occurs on a publisher's site or withing the media purchased? Does this drive us back to the CTR as the first of many proxies for success? Yes, but only for those ads designed to generate clicks. High engagement ads would have differing objectives. In my columns over the last several years, I've repeatedly tried to get marketers to consider the communication zone as starting with the impression and continuing as long as the surfer/searcher is engaged. http://www.clickz.com/3622843/all_articles

  12. David Koretz from BlueTie Inc.
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 7:40 PM
    @Randy... a bit dramatic, but an interesting perspective :)

  13. Randy White from Real Headway
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 4:26 PM
    This was written about in March of 2007 - can't say it wasn't a known vector to the intelligence in the marketing crowd: http://lawnstogardens.wordpress.com/2007/03/22/advertising-in-the-age-of-peak-oil/

    The answer you ask to be created has been created, you will hear more about Bright Neighbor as time marches on, but it is the answer you seek.

    The problem most of you are stuck in is trying to figure out ways to make MONEY rather than real VALUE for HYPER LOCAL economies. The fate of the US economy is already written on the tombstone, it's just that many don't know they are dead yet.

    There will be business survivors for sure, but nature's massive weeding out is well under way.

  14. Patrick Dobson from BlueTie, Inc.
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 12:45 PM
    I agree wholly that the interactive nature of the web and the creative possibilities therein are severely underused when it comes to internet advertising.

    Users shouldn't be tricked into click through, they should want to. In essence, every advertisement should provide a service. Just like TV commercials will often entertain in a medium that's designed for entertainment, internet advertisements should provide a service relevant to the site on which they advertise. I'm not just talking about content-driven advertising, I'm talking about substantive advertising.

    One of my favorite examples was a campaign that Burger King did for The Simpson's movie a year back. They advertised on MySpace and Facebook that users could upload pictures of themselves to their application, and it would generate a Simpsons-style picture of the user for them to put up on their profile page.

    This kind of advertisement creates an experience that seamlessly fits into the user's online experience, and it's the type of creativity needed to drive online advertising through the doldrums of pre-rolls and banner ads.

  15. W Austin from ShopNTown.com, Inc.
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:43 AM
    People are a creature of habit. Even the best solutions may not be accepted, as most of you know, until someone else owns it after the first 5% of the bell curve.

    I absolutly agree with you David with the SAME evaluation in 1997, as I saw the posibilites then, and here is the big but, NO ONE GOT IT then!

    Now with patent in hand on local search, applied for in 1999, when NO ONE GOT IT and in '98 when IBM, yes, IBM told our company that "no one cares obout the local community, its a global audience" local has been one of the fastest growing segments of the Internet 10 YEARS later. WE GOT IT then.

    So who else is going to miss the NEXT BIG Thing, because NO ONE GETS IT?

    W

  16. David Koretz from BlueTie Inc.
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:42 AM
    @ Joseph, I think we are in violent agreement.

    I'm not at all against tracking the metrics that lead to revenue. I was arguing against tracking metrics that *distract* from revenue.

    Stated a different way: revenue is the only goal, so you should measure the metrics that help you refine your approach to achieve that goal.

  17. David Koretz from BlueTie Inc.
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:40 AM
    @Stephen, totally agree. I think the down economy is going to push advertisers closer to a CPA model.

    Smart publishers are going to figure out how to help generate transactions and charge on a CPA model that is less risky for advertisers.

    David.

  18. Joseph Ratliff from E Business Now
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:39 AM
    Great post...I agree with the majority...but here is where I disagree strongly...

    Dave said... "No more metrics: We need a return to basics. Marketers create endless metrics to measure success. Most of it is a distraction and a total waste of time.

    There is only one metric in marketing that really matters: revenue."

    To which I disagree...revenue ISN'T the only metric that matters, as you have to know where and why you got that revenue to steadily increase that revenue.

    While we don't need to keep creating metrics, there are basics that we need to continue to measure (i.e. conversion %, as a 1% conversion isn't the same with low-ticket vs. high-ticket items).

  19. David Koretz from BlueTie Inc.
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:33 AM
    @ David Thurman,

    Needed? No, but I thought it was funny so I ran with it. :)

    I hate politics, and wasn't trying to make any profound statements.

    David.

  20. Geoff Caplan from Geoff-Caplan.Com
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:21 AM
    I agree somewhat but there are complicated dynamics to consider with all aspects of creatives and a campaign. Metrics receive so much emphasis, and rightly so, but who is to say which metrics are best? It all seems so subjective to me, and the I.T. equation is ever-changing and dynamic, to say the least. I think that the niche ad networks that specialize in verticals, and those that bring best practice performance-based marketing and strong content to their respective space(s) will continue to thrive. Everything else is highly arguable, IMHO.

  21. siyun fan from Horizon Media
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:16 AM
    Agree.

    Working on client side, I usually highly doubted the use of CPM while more focus, and recommend my clients so, on conversion rate and other metrix of "interaction".

  22. Mike Kelly from LIN TV Interactive
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:14 AM
    Agree in concept but there needs to be a sea change in getting performance metrics from the client flow through to publishers. We are help to CPM..but in the end we know...it's about how much product we can help our clients sell. As far as cost...I am not seeing CPMs skyrocket...but quite the opposite...with 300-400 ad networks and new ones every day...the market is flooded. Creative needs to get better,more engaging and create a true call to actions. In the end, banner, pre-roll or any click through opportunity is an immediate doorway to a client's business. There is still no other media that can do this.

  23. David Thurman from Hult Fritz Matuszak
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:11 AM
    great post but was:

    "Let's face it; most banner advertising is about as effective as abstinence training in Wasilla, Ala. Text ads are not much better. They work fine for search, but look ugly and out of place on content sites."

    Really needed? Keep to advertising and leave political comedy alone.

    As for online, agencies need to start an education process, inhouse and with the client if they hope to maintain their agency of record status.

  24. stephen p from kre8 media
    commented on: October 16, 2008 at 10:06 AM
    I absolutely agree, publishers are drunk on CPM when they could be establishing themselves as having integrity and accountability as targeting vehicles. The down market will inevitably force publishers to use more CPC and CPA. Advertisers won't always be willing to risk the ridiculous rates being charged for impressions when they could easily be charged based on purchases, downloads, sign ups, leads, etc. The down economy is the right time to put the collective foot down and demand a paradigm change in accountability and costing structure. Stop forcing the internet to be a purely branding vehicle, it has way more potential as a DR vehicle and rates ought to reflect that fact.

    communicationtopics.com

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DAVID KORETZ
  • David Koretz is the founder & CEO of BlueTie and the chairman of Adventive. Contact him here.


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