The Future Of Media Unfolds Incrementally

by , Oct 10, 2012, 2:52 PM
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One of my favorite Advertising Week events is MediaPost’s Future of Media Panel, which took place at NYU on Oct. 3. This year’s group of panelists ranged from advertisers to agencies to content platforms to gaming companies, and each offered their opinions on where they see the media landscape over the next few years. Last week I wrote about my habit of predicting the future of media using the side-view mirror, where objects appear closer than they actually are. This week I leave it to others to look ahead.

Of course there was a full range of answers from the panel. As much as we would like to think that being immersed in the media gives us the one true answer, it often turns out that we are creatures of our own environment.  Agencies speak of the renewed importance of marketing. Social media companies see the increasing importance of consumer engagement and involvement. Networks predict that television, which currently enjoys the lion’s share of budgets, will become even more interesting in the years ahead.

Among those views that had general consensus: Content will continue to be a vital element for success, perhaps even leading to more gamification in order to assure engagement -- and not just games; personal and local content that connects with users and viewers will have added importance.

Quality content can come from anywhere, from the professionals as well as the amateurs who create in their basement. Arianna Huffington of the eponymous Huffington Post called it a “hybrid future,” where there will be greater collaboration around the content platform. Nigel Morris from Aegis cautioned that change may feel slow -- but in retrospect you might see how fast change has actually occurred. Storytelling, especially as it informs a brand, will increase in importance -- as Tony Pace of Subway concluded that a brand is, in fact, a collection of multiple stories.

But has anything really changed in the process of predicting the future of media? Weren’t we all talking about the digitization of media a decade ago? Eric Hirschberg from Activision summed it up; “My conclusion is that media unfolds incrementally. I think there is an addiction editorially to thinking about revolution -- to think about something that will render obsolete everything that has come before it in its wake. That rarely happens. What usually happens is that new tools and new creative opportunities emerge. It is more important how you respond to these incremental changes than being able to predict them.” His full answer is linked here.

Well put. Let me check my side-view mirror to see how close these incremental changes are to accelerating change in the media landscape.

Next week I interview Roy Sekoff, president of HuffPost Live, who will talk about all aspects of news in the digitized space, and, specifically, how HuffPost Live will help transform news reportage.

2 comments on "The Future Of Media Unfolds Incrementally ".

  1. Douglas Ferguson from College of Charleston
    commented on: October 10, 2012 at 4:05 p.m.
    Fifteen years ago my wife and I watched commercials, but now we don't. We have TiVo with two tuners. Even in live shows we let the buffer fill so we can watch one show slightly delayed while the other runs commercials. Ten years ago we saw ads online, but now we don't. Ad blockers keep the ads away from our browser view. How is not seeing advertising anymore considered "incremental"? Maybe to people on a panel at the Waldorf.
  2. Charlene Weisler from Writer, Media Consultant: WeislerMedia.blogspot.com
    commented on: October 10, 2012 at 5:40 p.m.
    DVR penetration is about 40% of the US now but it is interesting to see how much viewing there is to commercials even when viewers are using their DVRs. That is not to say that DVR ad skipping is insignificant, but ad skipping does not appear to be universal and ad viewing is not disappearing overnight. I always think change is happening much faster than it is. Judging by the measurement numbers, I would say that ad skipping is changing incrementally in the marketplace, although I always skip commercials with my own DVR usage.

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