Welcome | View My Profile | Sign Out
MediaPost Home About MediaPost Privacy/Terms Media Kit Sitemap
Publications Home News
Online Media Daily Media Daily News Marketing Daily Mobile Marketing Daily Search Marketing Daily
Daily Feed> Email Daily Feed> Video Daily Feed> Social
Online Blogs
Online Spin Email Insider Search Insider Behavioral Insider Online Publishing Insider Mobile Insider Video Insider Gaming Insider Performance Insider Metrics Insider Social Media Insider Just An Online Minute Daily Online Examiner Raw Blog
Media Blogs
Research Brief Diane Mermigas:On Media TV Watch TV Board Magazine Rack Media Creativity Notes From the Digital Frontier Digital Outsider Mad Blog Red White and Blog
Marketing Blogs
Engage:Hispanics Engage:Kids 6-11 Engage:Moms Engage:Boomers Engage:Gen Y Engage:Teens Marketing:Green Marketing:Sports
Magazines
OMMA Magazine Media Magazine
Subscribe
Feedback Loop RSS Feeds Archives Subscribe
Feb 24 OMMA Metrics Measurement (NYC) Feb 25 OMMA Behavioral (NYC) Mar 17 OMMA Global (San Francisco) Apr 14 Search Insider Summit (FL) Apr 18 Email Insider Summit (FL) Apr 27 Outfront Conference (NYC) May 12 OMMA Mobile (NYC) May 13 Digital Out-of-Home Awards (NYC) Jun 15 OMMA Video Jun 16 OMMA Publish (NYC) Jun 17 OMMA Social (NYC)
Recently Concluded Events
Jan 26 OMMA Social (San Francisco) Jan 25 OMMA Performance (SF) Jan 12 MEDIA Agency of the Year 2009 (NYC) Jan 11 OMMA Agency of the Year 2009 (NYC) Dec 6 Email Insider Summit (Utah) Dec 2 Search Insider Summit (Utah) Nov 3 OMMA Adnets (NYC) Oct 30 OMMA Video (LA) Oct 29 OMMA Mobile (LA) Oct 29 OMMA Mobile & Video (LA)
All MediaPost/OMMA Events Event Blogging Past Event Videos
Industry Events Calendar
2010 Digital Out-of-Home Awards
2010 MEDIA Agency of the Year 2009 2010 OMMA Agency of the Year 2009 2009 Creative Media Awards 2009 OMMA Awards 2009 Digital Out-of-Home Awards 2009 Media Agency of the Year
All Awards
Employment Situations Wanted Services Offered Post a Job
Briefs Reports Online
MediaPost Directories
Mobile Insiders Group
People Finder Edit My Profile View My Profile My Contacts My Calendar
HOME • MANAGE SUBSCRIPTIONS • MEDIA KIT
Online Ad Business Recession-Proof, Analysts Say
by Gavin O'Malley, Tuesday, January 8, 2008, 8:30 AM

SHARE

TOOLS

RELATED ARTICLES
TAGS:  Online, Advertising

MOST READ

Despite the likelihood of a U.S. economic recession, Piper Jaffray remains cautiously optimistic about the performance of Internet companies in the new year.

"We believe the secular growth of the Internet will enable Internet fundamentals to outperform," according to the report issued on Monday by Piper Jaffray senior research analysts Aaron Kessler and Gene Munster. "Whereas Internet advertising budgets were the first to be cut during the market crash in 2000, we believe the proven high ROI of online advertising today will make online advertising resilient even with a recession in the United States."

Furthermore, the analysts believe that shares of Internet companies are becoming undervalued, with 2008 EBITDA mean and median multiples of 15x and 12x, respectively.

"While we do remain concerned with the macro economic concerns (housing, oil, retail sales, unemployment, and slowdown in corporate spending), we continue to expect most Internet companies to continue to deliver solid fundamentals and believe that valuations are currently discounting much of the economic concerns," according to the report.

Still, the investment bank is maintaining its neutral view on the overall Internet sector.

On average, Piper is estimating 37% EBITDA growth for its covered companies in 2008--well above the growth of the overall market.

The ecommerce segment grew by about 20% in the fourth quarter versus traditional retail--which was essentially flat year-over-year--and it is expecting growth in the high teens in 2008.

In addition, Piper continues to look for at least 20% online ad growth in 2008 versus low single digits for all U.S. advertising.

Other predictions for 2008 include the continued fragmentation of Web audiences, along with the growth of ad networks.

"The portals will continue to assemble and consolidate off-portal network inventory to help offset the increasing user fragmentation," according to the report. "We also expect the battle for ad network deals will continue to intensify, especially between Yahoo, Microsoft, AOL, and Google."

Also, while Piper is projecting further consolidation with the Internet industry, the bank does not foresee any mega-mergers to take place in 2008--notably the merging of Microsoft and Yahoo, or Yahoo and eBay.

1 person recommends this article. 



AUTHORS

ARCHIVES

Recent Online Media Daily Articles
DBG Boosts Analytics With Datran Media's Aperture    
Video network Digital Broadcasting Group has integrated Datran Media's Aperture digital audience measurement technology across its...
Facebook Dumps Microsoft Display, But Bing Is In   
Following a renegotiation of an existing ad placement partnership, Facebook will no longer run Microsoft display...
Armchair CDs Speak Out On Super Bowl Spots   
Twitter and social media have become the water coolers, spitting out data on ads during Super...
Social Media Platform Aims To Separate Signals From The Noise   
Networked Insights plans to announce this week several features in its SocialSense platform that should give...
Constant Contact Looks To Radio For New Email Marketing Clients, Boosts Rev 50%   
In a year when many marketing firms struggled, Constant Contact saw a nearly 50% revenue increase...
Iain Tait Joins W+K As ECD   
Wieden+Kennedy on Monday named Iain Tait as its new global interactive executive creative director. Tait joins...
Study: Half Of Top Web Retailers Have No Meaningful Facebook Presence   
With 400 million active users worldwide, it's hardly surprising that Facebook would be the best option...
HughesNet Lawyers Claim Advertised Broadband Speeds Were 'Puffery,' Court Allows Lawsuit To Proceed   
A group of consumers in California can proceed with their false advertising lawsuit against broadband satellite...
Monday-Morning Quarterbacking Change You Can Drink   
Nielsen found that Pepsi became the second-most-talked-about brand online related to the Super Bowl over the...
Toyota Uses Digg To Solicit Opinion On Recalls   
Toyota will broadcast an interview on Digg that gives community members an opportunity to ask questions...
>> Online Media Daily Archives 
ABOUT MEDIAPOST • MASTHEAD • MEDIA KIT • RSS FEEDS • PRIVACY/TERMS & CONDITIONS
©2010 MediaPost Communications. All rights reserved.
1140 Broadway, 4th Floor, New York, NY 10001
tel. 212-204-2000, fax 212-204-2038, feedback@mediapost.com