The Yankee Group predicts that the global wireless user base will increase by 49% over the next 4 years and reach 1.72 billion by 2007. The company's new Global Wireless/Mobile Forecast, released on
Tuesday, also shows global cellular subscriber revenue growing from $387 billion in 2002 to $584 billion in 2007, making wireless services similar in value to worldwide crude oil production. Speaking
at the company's Wireless Leadership Summit now under way at the Marriott Marquis in Times Square, Keith Mallinson, executive vice president of Wireless/Mobile Research, said, "The complete and
consistent global analysis that our new forecast provides is increasingly important. It is no longer sufficient merely to benchmark within national markets, and technological islands are disappearing
as TDMA and PDC become obsolete. Instead, the GSM family of technologies, including GPRS and WCDMA, will grow from 70% in 2002 to 80% market share in 2007, while the CDMA family with cdmaOne and
CDMA2000 will grow from 13% to 16% in the period."