With all the marketing hysteria surrounding Black Friday, it’s easy to forget that consumers tune out most of it. But Kantar Media just crunched the numbers, comparing ad expenditures to visits from holiday shoppers, and found that Walmart, Best Buy and Home Depot are the season’s most efficient advertisers so far.
Working with Placed Inc., a location-driven insights specialist, it reports that Walmart’s massive $70.7 million investment on TV advertising during the holiday period earned it a 38% share of store visitor traffic, the highest for any retailer. As a result, its visitor acquisition cost was the lowest, at $1.9 million per share point. That’s not as good as last year’s $1.7 million per share point last year, but still well ahead of its competitors. (Separately, Walmart reported that Cyber Monday was its biggest online day ever, with customers viewing more than 1.5 billion pages in the five-day period starting on Thanksgiving.)
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Target, which spent $61.6 million, more than twice its 2013 budget, only attracted a third as many shoppers, getting a 13.2% share; it spent $4.7 million per share point. Department stores and specialty stores were even less efficient: Each share point of visits cost Macy’s $10.5 million, for example, and Toys R Us $12.9 million.
Best Buy came in second place, with its $22.7 million in holiday ads buying a 7.4% share of store visits, for a cost of $3.1 million per share point. And Home Depot came in third, with $25.1 million in advertising resulting in a 6.9% share, or roughly $3.6 million.
Kantar based its ranking on TV ad spending on broadcast networks, cable and local stations from Nov. 3 through the day before Thanksgiving, and then used a panel of smartphone-enabled consumers to track locations and store visits for Black Friday weekend. It examined the top 59 retail destinations.
The study also found that all retailers started banging the Black Friday drum earlier this year. “Amidst concerns that early 2014 holiday promotions would make Black Friday shopping less relevant, a majority of the retailers we analyzed devoted a larger share of their TV spending to directly promote the event as compared to last year,” the report says. “Last year, only 4 of the 12 major retailers studied had begun ads with Black Friday messaging prior to the final week before the holiday, as compared to 11 this year.”
And in the final days before Thanksgiving, “Black Friday themes accounted for more than 85% of total TV spending from six retailers: Toys “R” Us, Home Depot; JC Penney, Macy’s, Kohls and Lowes.”
So was this assuming that 100% of store traffic was caused by ad spend? It seems like this is just comparing store traffic to ad spend, and that's an incredibly short sighted way to view this.
Walmart would have had huge black Friday sales regardless, so what you're saying is that the most 'efficient' thing for them to do would be to not spend any budget on advertising to have the lowest cost per share point.
Way too much causality here, go back and try again.
The Latin name for this logical fallacy is "post hoc propter hoc"
Walmart is also a supermarket. In fact, the largest US supermarket chain. A subset of the store visitors may have simply been there to buy groceries, not for Black Friday sales.