Commentary

Streamers Have Low Churn Rates, Will TV-Video Advertisers?

As premium video-streaming services grow, non-advertising and ad-supported, attention will focus on key “churn” rates -- defined as the rate of subscribers lost as a percentage of the subscriber base.

Somewhat helpful in keeping low churn is the ease of cancellation -- where a simple click on a service’s app/platform does the trick. Returning to these services is equally easy.

Many analysts say this gives consumers what they want: flexibility. Allowing customers to happily leave builds “trust,” “loyalty” and, going forward, a better chance for customers to return.

Many non-video subscriptions of consumer products haven’t followed this approach. Until recently, some well-known consumer product subscription services insists consumer make a phone call to cancel. 

This included, for example, The Honest Company, the food product company fronted by actor Jessica Alba, and Harry’s razors -- which has shifted to easier digital click changes.

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And we know why some old-thinking services still retain these practices -- a slow manual process dissuades consumers from leaving. At worst, it gives the customer-service representative a chance to change their minds.

Still, premium video streaming providers have other issues when it comes to keeping consumers: pricing.

Netflix, the premium video streaming leader, for most of its U.S. subscribers, is priced at $12.99 a month, perhaps the most expensive for a broad-based premium TV streamer. That's compared to Disney+ at $6.99/month or Apple TV+ at $4.99/month plan.

And what about other streamers, such as ad-supported streaming services in a mature digital TV world? Right now, CBS All Access, for one, says things are pretty good.

Responding to a question from MediaPost at the Television Critics Association meeting in January, Marc DeBevoise, Chief Digital Officer of ViacomCBS/CEO-president of CBS Interactive, said CBS All Access’ “churn”  is low, around a “single-digits” percentage, a number typical for a traditional premium cable TV network.

Decades ago, cable networks and cable TV providers could deal with this low single-digit percentage churn rate -- especially as there was overall growth with net subscribers. Not now. Annual subscriber losses of 3% for many cable and other TV networks are the new normal.

So are we just substituting one unstable world for another to come?

Where will churn be when all the major media companies see a meaningful share -- says 40% to 50% of their business moving online into the OTT/CTV space?

Churn up the noise. Ear plugs optional.

2 comments about "Streamers Have Low Churn Rates, Will TV-Video Advertisers?".
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  1. M Cohen from marshall cohen associates, March 4, 2020 at 10:07 a.m.

    "Marc DeBevoise, Chief Digital Officer of ViacomCBS/CEO-president of CBS Interactive, said CBS All Access’ “churn” is low, around a “single-digits” percentage, a number typical for a traditional premium cable TV network."

    There is a big -- no, huge difference between 4% monthly churn and 9%. We are only in the first inning here. Not all of the major streming services are even up yet. But, as always, the consumer will do what she wants, dropping, re-subscribing and companies must make that easy. How churn rates shake out will be known over the next couple of years. But, in talking to consumers, as we do, they intend to go in and out of OTT services at will. Expect higher churn rates. And work very hard on retention strategies. The consumer is king!

  2. Ed Papazian from Media Dynamics Inc, March 4, 2020 at 12:14 p.m.

    Streaming "churn" rates will grow rapidly as more and more players join in the game---at the outset, offering anytime cancellation as one of their hooks to recruit subs. Later, once the inevitable shakeout leaves only some of these services still standing, many will switch to one - year and/or longer contracts and then the fun will really begin. How the emerging AVOD folks will play this game is yet to be determined as we are just in the first inning of what may develop into a very lengthy transition with many course shifts and new business plans yet to be introduced.

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