Basic industry stats give no reason for optimism.
U.S. light vehicle sales fell 18.3% in June 2008 compared to June 2007, to about 1.9 million. Sales in the first six months of 2008 are down 10.1% compared to the same period last year, to 7.4 million. That comes on top of an earlier decline during 2006-2007, when total light vehicle sales declined 2.5% to 16.1 million. The 2007 slump prompted some major automakers to say they would scale back advertising substantially in 2008.
Those cuts are taking a deep toll on auto-focused magazines. During the January-July period, ad pages declined sharply at most auto titles compared to the same period in 2007, with AutoWeek down 10.6%, Automobile 11.2%, Car and Driver 11.6%, and Motor Trend 16.9%.
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Nor has the downturn spared smaller niche titles focused on auto specialties. In this category, Car Craft is down 10.1%, Hot Rod 9.4%, Road & Track 6%, Rod & Custom 9% and Sport Truck 20.7%.
Overall, these data confirm that magazines in general, including general-interest and niche titles, are seeing a decline in auto ad spending. In the first quarter, total auto ad pages slid 21.3%, according to TNS Media Intelligence. Second-quarter figures are not yet available.