An interactive piece on FiveThirtyEight gives Donald Trump a 70% chance of winning the New Hampshire GOP primary. Sen. Marco Rubio has a 13% chance and Kasich 8% chance. When focusing solely on the results, Kasich is projected to get 14.7% of the vote, close behind Rubio, who is expected to receive 16.9%. Following the GOP debate over the weekend, the landscape may change.