One day earlier, I had posted a blog to "MediaPost Raw and Unadulterated" about TiVo CEO Tom Rogers' breakfast presentation at the conference. One response stated the obvious and validates my own viewing experience:
"People are turning to DVRs to skip commercials," said the respondent. "In the 1990s one could expect to see 10 to 12 minutes of commercials for each hour of programming; now one can see as many as 26 minutes of advertising per hour!"
Rogers drew a parallel between the derivatives meltdown and the advent of ad silencing gizmos: TiVo and its technological brethren are the consummation of a trend that marketers should have seen coming. "Consumers are in control," he said adding that DVR devices like TiVo are in about 25 million households with around 60 million coming online over the next three years (he said TiVo is in around 3.5 million households).
"The majority of TV is time-shifted, and the majority of time-shifted ads are fast forwarded," said Rogers. "That's two thirds of homes or more that advertisers care about reaching, and [those households] will be fast-forwarding those ads."
He says TiVo, with its variety of inventory, can serve ads without the repellant after-taste. "There are many ways to engage: tags, full-screen billboards, insertions. And there are many more forms of inventory to come," he said.
As for ROI, he said "The benefit of the right kinds of DVR ad placements are Internet-type measurement. We have second-by-second measurement tools to give TV advertising all the accountability of the Internet, and it's more cost effective than TV. So there's huge potential for increased efficiency."
How about repurposing a TV spot for TiVo? "Ads [for DVR] have to be more informative, interactive and immersive; they must be entertaining commercials with measurability, lead generation and [the ability to do] purchase transactions off remote control. I see a day when TV advertising is more powerful with better ROI, and better for the consumer."
The bottom line, per Rogers, is that marketers need to think of DVR as an opportunity not a threat. Way-ay-l-l, you can take that with a grain of sodium the size of the Bonneville Salt Flats since Rogers IS selling TiVo, after all. But if he's right, and he probably is, partly, the job of creating that "tailored solution" for TiVo that will get households to watch your ads is on your shoulders.
I don't care if TiVo lets me time shift. It doesn't create more time. If they want to get me to watch those marketing messages TiVo should come out with a unit that actually adds few hours to the day, or lets me delete a few hours I'd rather forget, or better yet, lets me sleep in. Then I promise to watch every ad, every branded integrated widgetized banner they can throw at me.