SNL Kagan Forecasts Ad Recovery

After crushing double-digit percentage declines in advertising a year ago, TV stations' ad growth will rocket up double-digit increases this year. Radio stations will also point upwards, but less than half the rate of TV.

SNL Kagan, the Charlottesville, VA-based media researcher, says TV stations will climb 14.3% in 2010 to $19.8 billion -- rising from $17.3 billion in 2009, the lowest TV ad revenue total in 15 years.

Adding in new retransmission fees, total TV station revenue is expected to grow to $20.9 billion in 2010 and $25.4 billion by 2016.

Radio will also make gains -- some 6.4% to $17.1 billion. This boost follows a drop of 17.7% to $16.0 billion in 2009. Advertising revenue from online businesses will push up total revenue for radio. SNL Kagan says radio stations will climb 15% to $552 million. In six years, radio will grow to $19.8 billion.

The media company says investors have noticed the major progress in ad growth. This year, radio station stocks are up 36%, and TV stocks are 26% higher, year-to-date.

"The bounce-back in ad revenues, combined with other positive trends, such as growing digital dollars, have reassured investors," stated Robin Flynn, senior analyst with SNL Kagan.

advertisement

advertisement

Next story loading loading..