Commentary

Why TV's Next Big Leap Is Falling Flat

When I first heard about ATSC 3.0’s promise to revolutionize broadcast television, I brushed it off. Another “breakthrough,” I thought—another rebrand of the same old tech, dressed up to sound new—legacy broadcasters clutching at straws.

I was wrong.

Despite its potential, most continue to view this initiative as overhyped and impractical, leaving a potentially globally transformative technology stranded in obscurity.

Tech Jargon Over Human Understanding

ATSC 3.0 has world-changing potential, but it isn’t easy to understand why. Its name is a clunky acronym for “Advanced Television Systems Committee,” which sounds like a firmware update rather than a revolutionary shift in how we can use spectrum effectively. Think of “HDTV,” a name so intuitive it instantly conjures sharper, better television in our minds. A name isn’t just a label; it’s a promise, a story, and a signal to customers and to the market, and “ATSC” offers none of these.

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Its advocates explain that it “brings orthogonal frequency-division multiplexing “1 and “merges Over-the-Air with Over-the-Top content.”2 This tech-speak buries the real story: ATSC 3.0 is a technology that can save lives when cellular networks collapse during disasters; it can connect communities without broadband; and ATSC 3.0 can unlock billions in new advertising revenue.

But if the industry, its partners, and our legislators can’t understand its value, how can they champion it?

The $20 Billion Comeback Plan

Broadcasting has bled $30-40 billion in revenue from 2015 to 2025, with advertising projected to drop 48% to $32.83 billion this year. ATSC 3.0 could help reverse this slide through location-aware ads that rival streaming’s precision while leveraging broadcast’s massive reach. Using packet-based transmission, it embeds real-time ad stitching and pinpoints viewers’ locations with centimeter-level accuracy by employing enhanced GPS signals. 

Capturing just 10% of the $200 billion digital ad market could yield $20 billion annually—enough to significantly offset a decade of losses.

Beyond ads, ATSC 3.0 enables datacasting traffic data to connected cars, geolocation for ride-sharing apps, and spectrum leasing for smart cities. Its emergency alerts position broadcasters as critical infrastructure. This could enable broadcasters to access government funds previously reserved for telecoms. 

This isn’t just TV; it’s a new backbone for connectivity.

The Adoption Paradox: Chicken Or Egg?

I have not seen one memorable ad, social media presence, or influencers breaking down the why and how of ATSC 3.0. 

As of late 2024, only 14 million ATSC 3.0-enabled devices were in American homes. Retail field tests found that most major retailers, including Best Buy, Walmart, and Target, have no website filtering options to help consumers find NextGen TV models. Sony, Samsung, Hisense, TCL, RCA, and Panasonic all offer TVs with ATSC 3.0 tuners, but at retail, there is minimal in-store signage, if any, and the sales staff are largely unaware or uneducated about the technology. Due to the lack of advertising and low awareness, consumers are not demanding the technology.

This scenario creates a chicken-and-egg problem: manufacturers won’t prioritize tuners without consumer demand, but consumers can’t demand what they don’t understand, can’t easily find in stores, or perceive as having value to them.

The Cost of Poor Communication

The fallout is stark. As of late 2025, only 40% of U.S. markets have ATSC 3.0 signals, and consumer awareness is near zero. Broadcasters are investing millions to upgrade, but without a unified, human-centered push, their efforts are invisible. The technology’s potential—crisper visuals, mobile viewing, even datacasting to bridge rural internet gaps—is withering in obscurity.

ATSC 3.0 isn’t just a technical upgrade; it’s a chance to reimagine broadcast TV. But until its marketing learns to speak to people, it’ll remain a great idea no one understands.

1 comment about "Why TV's Next Big Leap Is Falling Flat".
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  1. Harold Hallikainen from Independent, November 14, 2025 at 1:18 p.m.

    I suspect the transition away from the existing broadcast television standard will be a transition away from broadcast television. Though broadcast is bandwidth efficient in sending the same content to everyone, bandwidth is now cheap enough that the interactive nature of streaming has become practical. 

    There have been various attempts at "data broadcasting" for many years, perhaps starting with the delivery of newspapers over radio in the 1930s. More recently, FM stations were going to get rich with data broadcasting and paging over subcarriers. AM stations were going to get rich with utility load management broadcasting using subaduible subcarriers. The existing ATSC standard allows for data broadcasting. I am not aware of any large implementation.

    In the 1990s, the FCC authorized the Interactive Video and Data Service at 218 MHz with the promise of being able to order a pizza from your TV! It did not last long, and that spectrum has now been reallocated. 

    While ATSC 3 offers interactivity over an internet connection, that same internet connection can provide all the content that would be transmitted over ATSC 3. The ATSC 3 maximum capability of 57 Mbps pales when compared with current fiber, cellular, and CATV internet connections. Why use the RF at all?

    Interactivity, whether delivered by cellular or fiber, is the future. 

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