That seems to be what industry economist and former big agency insider Brian Wieser is suggesting in a new report being released this morning.
The report, "The Future of Planning Is The Platform," was commissioned by one of them -- Google -- but the long-time Wall Street and agency holding company (Interpublic's Magna, WPP's GroupM) forecaster and economist, says it draws on his years of experience both inside and out of ad business, and was done in consultation with nearly a dozen industry experts, including Google Senior Director of Global Media Measurement and Optimization Elissa Lee.
The report, which is being published this morning in Wieser's Madison & Wall Substack newsletter, also follows the release of a multitude of new, powerful and free media planning and buying tools developed by the major platforms to help both small and big advertisers and agencies get more bang for the bucks they spend on the platforms.
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Just last week, Google announced it was taking its Meridian marketing mix model out of beta and offering to any advertiser and agency who wants to use it.
Google unveiled Meridien during its May 2024 "Marketing Live" summit along with a variety of other new media planning software tools (see highlights via YouTube below).
Not surprisingly, many of the new media planning tools being developed by Google -- as well as other big digital platforms including Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, etc. -- are leveraging increasingly powerful versions of AI, enabling advertisers and agencies of all sizes to do much more of the kind of manual planning that might have required teams or individuals spending many work hours working with spreadsheets and other clunky, manual tools.
A 2024 study by media-buying data and software company Guideline, in fact, found the vast majority of media planners -- both inside agencies and clients directly -- still utilize spreadsheets to manage their media planning.
Wieser's report also comes as the big agency holding companies are doubling down on their own planning tech stacks, infused with AI, and leveraging proprietary data that may not be as easily scraped by the digital platforms -- ie. "walled gardens" -- that they often find themselves at the mercy of using without the kind of transparency they desire.
Just last week, Stagwell's Assembly unit unveiled a new AI-powered version of its internal media planning operating system dubbed "STAGE AI," which it touts as already having generated a 30% lift in "campaign relevance for targeted audiences" in its beta testing, and quantum leaps in data processing time.
“STAGE AI is not just an upgrade; it’s a transformation,” Assembly Global CEO Rick Acampora said when it was announced, adding, "This is the most real, connected, and future-ready technology in the industry, and now it’s even better. With AI seamlessly integrated into STAGE, we’ve created a smarter, faster, and more automated platform that allows our teams to deliver exceptional value to our clients, not just today, but for the future.”
In fact, most if not all of the big agency holding companies have been investing mightily in AI-powered operating systems capable of leveraging unique, proprietary data that gives them a competitive edge vis a vis the big tech platforms.
None represent this better than MediaPost's "Holding Company of the Year" Omnicom, which has already merged its homegrown OMNI AI-powered OS with the undisputed commerce data optics of Flywheel Digital, and is now poised to merge those with Interpublic's own deep tech and data resources, including Acxiom.
While big digital platforms have an almost omniscient view of data about how their own users behave -- often both in- and out-of-network -- Omnicom execs have boasted how their Flywheel unit has visibility into "petabytes of data" across "the top 80 marketplaces in the world."
Amid all their own internal development, as well as working directly with digital platforms to help develop APIs for improving media planning and buying across their systems, three of the biggest holding companies -- Interpublic, Omnicom and WPP -- took equity stakes in what arguably is the biggest planning and buying technology and software developer to date, Mediaocean.
Meanwhile, Wieser's new report does not paint a rosy picture for conventional media planners, forecasting that much if not all of what they previously handled manually is being replaced by better, faster, and AI-infused automation that will require people to focus on more sophisticated forms of consumer planning, such as "strategic planning," "account planning" and communications planning, which combine more of a human touch to understand how other humans connect with media, messages and products and services.
"There's more and more focus on something passing for a [key performance indicator] and then organizing everything around that," Wieser told me late last week while giving me an early look at his new report.
"What I'm trying to says is that if you're planning there's no more line item for video, audio, print, digital. The line item -- meaning the media plan -- is the platform now.
Joe, I'm confused by this. Are we saying that the media planner's work is mostly a book keeping fuction using spread sheets to lay out the client's ad spend in detail by month, by media platform---broadcast network TV, cable, streaming, magazines, digital video, radio, etc. ---and now the new system will relieve them of this chore? And are we saying that the media planner has no say in what types of TV to use---network type or day parts or program genre, etc.? Perhaps we are saying that all that matters is that the client use a particular mix of platforms, not what what the individual components within these platforms may be?
The sad truth is that media planners rarely have a say in the main decision---whether to use TV or print, digital or audio---and even within these they are saddled with must buy mandates such as we must be in the NFL games or we must be in news or on Meta. As a result, much of media planning revolves around accepting these mandates and working around them with whatever portion of the ad spend is flexible. Often, these deliberations concern issues like platform audience duplication, various reach and frequency configurations, timing, targeting nuances, attentiveness factors, etc. Will the new Google system handle these as well?Or is it exclusively about digital not traditional media which remains the main focus of many branding campaigns along with CTV as an extension of linear TV?
@Ed Papazian: I think that's what Brian Wieser is saying. I think it's true insofar as using digital platforms are concerned, becasue they continue to build out media planning tools enabling anyone -- even businesses without agencies or media planners -- to plan media buys.
I think the issue is planning across mixes that include analog media, but biggies like Google are now even accounting for those too (see story on its release of its Meridian marketing mix model, etc.).
From Wieser's POV, the art of media planning is no longer planning across media (what he calls line items), but across platforms.
I'm thinking you probably don't agree with him, but it's a point of view.
But as Wieser also notes, there's still plenty of room for strategic planning, etc.