I believe... that the quality of service with HD large screens will help to retain cable subscribers. However, I also think [the] prediction that there will soon be much simpler methods for
computer/web connection to TV will accelerate erosion to Web-only connections despite the lesser QOS vs HD. Many people will be OK with the quality.
Finally, other comments regarding the number of
commercials gets to what I believe is the core issue. Whether consumers use DVRs and skip, or view their programming via Hulu et al with far fewer ads, they will inevitably watch fewer commercials.
Only by splitting the audiences for the reduced inventory of ads into more targetable/measurable segments with higher CPMs can the "free programming" model be expected to survive or even thrive.
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