Sorrell: Bearish On Future Of Advertising

Sir Martin Sorrell WPP Group CEO Martin Sorrell steered clear of suggestions that the worst is in the rearview mirror, offering a bearish outlook on the economy and ad market this week. One reason: the Obama administration's economic-recovery package may not have produced anticipated results so far. "I think there is a bit of a feeling that the fiscal stimulus [that] has been put into place -- as yet -- is not working," Sorrell said in an interview on CNBC.

"Generally, I think the feeling on both sides of the Atlantic," he added, "[is] that things are not going quite as right as people thought they were when the stock market started to move a few months ago."

Sorrell said he believes there is a growing sentiment -- which he expects to be echoed at the current G8 summit -- that "there is a need ... for a little bit more" in terms of a government-sponsored economic injection across the Atlantic. Sorrell is attending the Allen & Co. conference in Idaho with other top media executives.

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As for the ad market, he said there has been "no real recovery yet." Business in April and May has been worse than it was in the January-March period. Sorrell said figures for June have not come in, "but I doubt whether we'll see the pattern change."

While some other media executives have suggested the bottom has either been hit or is in sight, Sorrell said: "The general feeling is a little more downbeat than it was a few months ago." He suggested 2010 could bring an "anemic mild recovery," while he tiptoed into a prediction that the second half of this year would top the first.

WPP, he said, is girding for what may be an even longer-term downturn by seeking growth from expanding its digital operations, buttressing its businesses in emerging markets and building up its research segment.

About one-quarter of the holding company's business comes from its digital operations, which Sorrell said he hopes will rise to one-third or more. Emerging markets account for a bit more than a quarter (27%) now.

As for research and consumer insight, where WPP acquired TNS last year, he said: "We think clients are very focused, particularly in these difficult times, understanding what consumers ... are thinking about, what we are driven by or not driven by -- trying to understand that in better detail."

WPP spends $850 million a year buying search ads on Google, Sorrell said-- adding that the business is less expensive than "old media," making it enticing to advertisers. But "we still don't know from a measurement point of view how much more effective [it] is or not."

1 comment about "Sorrell: Bearish On Future Of Advertising".
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  1. Paula Lynn from Who Else Unlimited, July 10, 2009 at 9:34 a.m.

    Sorry for the typo..should be "they increase"

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