Fast-forward those DVR estimates and all that turmoil they can bring to TV advertisers. How much does the Supreme Court decision concerning network-DVR change the game?
If TV networks and
advertisers were worried about the fast-forwarding of commercials through DVRS, just think about what happens now that DVR technology becomes easier to get into the home.
The Supreme Court decision not to hear TV studios' and networks' appeal of a lower court ruling on remote DVRs effectively gives all cable operators the ability in put
network-DVR systems into their cable operations -- and quickly.
The bulk of network-DVR technology will sit at the cable operators' head-end, saving cable companies millions from no
purchasing, installation, or servicing of DVR units in the home.
Cablevision wants to start up network-DVR technology
by the end of the summer.
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How does that affect TV in the near term? Estimates are that relatively stagnant DVR penetration, now at 32% of all U.S. TV homes, could easily zoom pass
50%.
TV research has already shown overall viewing increases with DVRs -- which also includes some additional viewing of commercials. But, as we all know, commercials are also fast-forwarded
to a greater degree in DVR versus non-DVR homes.
TV programmers made a quick move in suing Cablevision. But in the background were TV marketers, silent rooting for the studios to prevail. Now
TV marketers' lives will be more complicated -- and in a relative hurry.
One factor possibly slowing things down: cable operators may not want to pay the capital expense in network-DVR
technology. But given cable operators' increasing desire for an edge over satellite TV distributors, it'll be hard to resist.
More and more, TV cable subscribers want better home
technology -- cheaper ways to manipulate TV programming and content. It's not just about operators charging more per month, but keeping cable subscribers on cable versus serving them on a plate to
a telco or satellite video distributor.
Network-DVR technology won't be the only quiver needed for cable operators to compete -- easier Internet navigation, for example, will be demanded
as well.
But right now, in the short term, it's a bull's-eye.