Oprah Winfrey leaving her roots among TV stations could be the last move in a quick triple play gone wrong for the industry.
First, TV stations have been -- and still are -- hit
with the worst advertising market in decades, perhaps ever, with many TV groups sinking a massive 30% and more in advertising revenues in recent periods.
Next, more recently, stations say
they are being bumped out of line line, with broadcast networks looking to grab some retransmission fees that seemingly were all going to station coffers.
Now perhaps one of the biggest
faces of the airwaves -- and the national TV syndication business -- Oprah Winfrey, looks to be moving
out. To add insult to injury, she's probably heading to broadcast stations' long-time competitor, the cable industry.
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Everyone is looking for a little extra cash these days.
Broadcast networks want retransmission money from cable operators -- and now their TV stations. Cable operators want "TV Everywhere" money from consumers they don't control. New digital TV
programmers want separate fees from consumers, as well as advertising dollars.
And TV stations? They just want to survive -- whoever is willing to pay the bills.
It's no secret
that while "The Oprah Winfrey Show" pulls in big advertising dollars per year for CBS Television Distribution, local TV stations have been getting big advertising benefits. (One saving grace to losing
Oprah: stations would also be parting with her large license fees.)
Oprah isn't the whole TV syndication marketplace, nor does she represent all of TV stations' local ad dollars. But
emotionally she puts a strong individual face on the marketplace for many viewers.
Those viewers will follow her anywhere -- and Discovery Communications may be dictating the marching
orders. Dealing with her as a partner in the massive undertaking of a new cable channel, OWN,
Discovery will need her strong voice to carry the network.
In recent years broadcast networks have had to part with, or share, off-network sitcoms like "Friends," "Seinfeld," and
"Everybody Loves Raymond" with cable networks. That may have seemed OK at the time, with syndication still having its first-run TV shows as the major differential between it and cable.
In the wake of a possible Oprah departure, TV stations executives must be thinking, what or who is next -- "Wheel of Fortune," "Dr. Phil," "Entertainment Tonight," "Rachael Ray" or "Judge Judy"?