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The Tricky Business Of Mobile Forecasting

This weekend, Apple Insider took a minute to pick on Gartner and its newly revised mobile market predictions. "Gartner recently issued a new prediction of the direction of the smartphone industry, but its last one from 2009 doesn't suggest the company has very accurate foresight," Apple Insider writes. Last week, Gartner said it believed that Google's Android platform would be used by 49% of all smartphones by 2012 and that by 2015, Microsoft's Windows Phone would overtake Apple's iOS iPhone for second place.

One caveat: "Just a year and a half ago, the same firm made similar bold predictions about the smartphone industry that suggested the same dramatic turn around for Microsoft." Microsoft aside, "Every other predicted element in Garner's outlook has changed significantly in the last year and a half," Apple Insider adds. For one, Nokia's Symbian 00 once seen as holding on to the lion's share of smartphones in 2011 -- is now expected to fizzle in light of Nokia's plans to drop support for it and focus on WP7 later this year.

Read the whole story at Apple Insider »

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