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FiveThirtyEight Gives Cruz A 50% Chance Of Winning Iowa Primary
- FiveThirtyEight, Wednesday, January 13, 2016 11:42 AM
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight has released its GOP Iowa caucuses forecast, which gives Sen. Ted Cruz the best chance of winning, at 50%. The forecasters gathered data from 64 different polls to enhance the accuracy of their predictions. The model has Donald Trump with a 26% chance of winning the caucuses and Sen. Marco Rubio has a 17% chance.
