The recent release of BIGresearch's Consumer Intentions & Actions Survey for September points out that conservatism is the name of the game regarding personal finances, with the majority of consumers contend they're practical spenders.
Some key findings in September are:
41.7% of respondents plan "pay down debt," up from 36.3% in August
"decrease overall spending" is a close #2 with 40.2%, up more than 10 points from last month 29.2%.
In the "advance Holiday '05 Outlook," it appears that the devastation in the Gulf, rising pump prices, and forecasted increases in home heating costs this winter have consumers thinking more conservatively this season.
The 90 Day Outlook On Retail Merchandise Categories Compared To August 05 And September '04 | ||
Category | August 2005 | September 2004 |
Children's | DOWN | DOWN |
Toys and Games | FLAT | DOWN |
Women's Dress | DOWN | DOWN |
CDs/DVDs/Videos/Books | DOWN | DOWN |
Women's Casual | DOWN | DOWN |
Electronics | DOWN | DOWN |
Men's Dress | DOWN | DOWN |
Groceries | DOWN | DOWN |
Men's Casual | DOWN | DOWN |
Home Improvement | DOWN | DOWN |
Shoes | DOWN | DOWN |
Lawn & Garden | DOWN | DOWN |
HBC | DOWN | DOWN |
Home Furniture | DOWN | DOWN |
Dining Out | DOWN | DOWN |
Decorative Home Furnishings | DOWN | DOWN |
Sporting Goods | DOWN | DOWN |
Linens/Bedding/Draperies | DOWN | DOWN |
Source: BIGresearch's Consumer Intentions & Actions Survey, Sept. '05 |
Finally, the University of Michigan found that consumer optimism sinks as gasoline prices rise. Richard Curtin, the Director of the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers, noted that the unusually large August decline was widespread among all demographic groups and across all regions of the country. He said "Consumers anticipated higher inflation, higher interest rates, higher unemployment and a slower pace of economic growth during the year ahead,"
At least one bright spot...purchase intentions for high-dollar durables are up compared to last month and last year. 10.4% plan to buy a vehicle in the next 6 months, up from 9.6% in August and 9.6% in '04.
For more information on BIG Consumer intentions, go here.
For the University of Michigan release, see this release.