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by Dave Morgan
, Featured Contributor,
December 15, 2022
Amazon makes a lot of money selling to Prime subscribers and giving them free shipping. It also makes a lot of money selling merchant services to ecommerce companies, and an awful lot of money selling
AWS cloud storage services. And it gives away unlimited access to billions of dollars of great movies, series and sports content.
Apple makes a lot of money selling iPhones, iPads and
iMacs. It also makes a lot of money taking a piece of the revenue for many of the apps running on its devices. And now, every time you buy a new Apple device, your household gets Apple TV+ streaming
services for free, which include billions of dollars of great movies, series and sports content.
Ten years ago, a good friend and top investment banker told me that once premium video
streaming services were given away en masse as free “premiums” for buying other products or services from big tech companies, the days would be numbered for television and movie companies
as we know them. Premium video services, she feared, will become commoditized, like the free toasters that used to be given away when customers opened a banking account.
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Her perspective was
that those movie and TV companies’ business models were built around the analog media world, where distribution was scarce but attention was plentiful. Broadcast, satellite or cable carriage
were monopoly providers of video into consumers’ homes. Putting content on those channels guaranteed big audiences hungry for quality video programming, with big cuts for subscription fees, and
ad revenue plentiful as a result.
In a digital media world, distribution is no longer scarce. Anyone can deliver a video stream into an Internet household, and many thousands of companies
currently do. With so much choice, viewer attention is now scarce. Streaming viewing is fragmented over hundreds of thousands of videos at any given time. No longer will making great video create a
profitable revenue stream on its own.
This point really hit home for me when I read a recent Sports Business Journal piece penned by my good friend John Kosner, the longtime head of
digital and strategy at ESPN, about the extraordinary disruptive power that Amazon now represents to the world of sports media. Its “Thursday Night Football” streamcast is attracting 15
million to 20 million viewers per week (much younger audiences than the NFL normally attracts) and has spiced up production with tons of cool camera angles and stats. Most importantly, the football
streamcast is apparently generating many new Prime subscriptions each week as well.
Is it possible for legacy TV/video companies to survive that kind of world without similar adjacent market
subsidies? It will be hard, but these three issues will be critical.
Win where subsidized streamers aren’t. Legacy video companies need to maximize their revenue from legacy
channels like broadcast, cable and satellite. Those channels support hundreds of millions of viewers in the U.S. each day. They're not going away soon; they should be with us for at least another
decade.
Cooperate to eliminate costs. Revenues will be hard to sustain, so cost cutting will have to move faster. Most legacy video companies have a lot of duplicative vertical
integration -- they each have their own ad sales, marketing, operations, production teams, etc. They will need to create or participate in cross-company service bureaus to take out these costs and
reduce them dramatically for all cooperators. Possibly 50% of a national TV company’s operating costs could be eliminated that way.
Build your own adjacent market subsidies.
What’s good for the goose is good for the gander. Offering free premium video gives mobile phone and ecommerce companies attractive consumer acquisition economics. Do exclusive deals with their
competitors -- or companies like them in categories like financial services or retail -- to build the same kinds of advantages for yourself, just going the other direction.
This won’t be
easy for the culture of legacy TV video companies. But those that can execute it well will reap big rewards. What do you think?