When I first heard about the TV Everywhere concept being promoted by Time Warner's Jeff Bewkes, I was skeptical. In his plan, Time Warner companies that provide content over cable television such
as TNT, Cartoon Network and HBO will also offer viewers on-demand access to that same video programming over the Web, but on a protected site that can only be accessed if the viewers are subscribers
to that same programming through a cable or satellite television provider. I have never been a fan of walled-garden strategies online, having watched so many of them fail in the mid-1990's, when
the "open" Web won out over proprietary online services. Thus, my skepticism.
I've spent some time over the past few weeks pondering the viability of TV Everywhere. After much
thought, I have replaced my skepticism for its prospects with guarded optimism. (Full disclosure: I am a shareholder of Time Warner (TWX) and briefly worked for its AOL subsidiary) Here is
why:
Narrow focus of initiative. TV Everywhere is first and foremost about protecting the relationship between television programmers and pay-television system operators. Cable
and satellite operators pay many billions of dollars per year for the exclusive ability to provide their subscribers with content. If programmers offered viewers unrestricted access to that same
content for free over the Web, similar to what some broadcasters do on Hulu, programmers' most important business relationship would be forever undermined.
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Doesn't depend on
substantial change in consumer behavior. The vast majority of U.S. households already subscribe to pay television services. Thus, using TV Everywhere on the Web (or mobile too, I suspect),
will be a simple compliance issue and piggy-backs on an existing subscription. This is not like the efforts of early online services or music companies to establish new consumer subscription services.
Certainly, there is a lot of talk these days about consumers bypassing their traditional pay-TV providers and going straight to the Web, but I don't think that mainstream America is going to go
that way for some time. This is going to be a long transition, and cable and satellite subscriptions and set-top boxes aren't going away anytime soon.
TV viewing experience
doesn't micro-chunk (or commoditize) easily. Whereas newspapers found out that in the open digital world -- where content is easily "micro-chunked" and redistributed -- their
individual stories ultimately carried more value than their entire daily package, long-form, studio-produced video content doesn't work the same way. Viewing re-aggregated 30-second snippets does
not replace the experience of watching a full season of "The Sopranos."
Do I think that TV Everywhere will become the long-term platform and business model of all studio-produced
video content? I don't know. I haven't really thought through all of those issues yet. However, I do believe that TV Everywhere is a smart strategy to preserve critical business relationships
and consumer behaviors, while television transitions into a more on-demand and Web-driven vehicle over the next decade. What do you think?