Commentary

Value of a Facebooker?

Marketers place a lifetime value on a customer on an email list based on their purchasing activity. For Netflix, it could be $9. At US Airways, maybe $2.

But now with social networking booming, a question emerges: How to place a similar value on a person who is an active participant on a company's Facebook or MySpace page (or a similar venue, maybe Twitter). And marketers are now in hot pursuit.

They agree that a person who simply visits the page and is a static follower is of minimal value. But people who can be tagged as influencers, who forward information to friends or other contacts that result in transactions obviously have tremendous value.

Identifying those social-media pacesetters and understanding what drives them can help marketers send them more targeted messages, aiming to drive even more referrals and launch successful viral marketing.

Email marketers are working hard on algorithms to quantify the worth of those influencers. Tim Schigel of ShareThis.com, who spoke on a panel at the Summit, said: “We’ll see a better understanding of that … the industry is trying to figure it out."

Craig Swerdloff, CEO of LeadSpend -- also on the panel -- said a value of a social-media influencer should be “another variable that you put into your algorithm to determine the lifetime value of a customer.”

What is that value? Back-of-the-envelope calculation: If it's $9 per Netflix consumer and that person has 500 Facebook friends and persuades 1% (5) to make a purchase, the figure could be as high as $54.

Peter Horan, also on the panel and CEO of Goodmail Systems, suggested marketers consult the work of MIT professor Eric von Hippel, who has a method to identify so-called “lead users”â€" those trendsetters who can drive influence across a range of industries.

3 comments about "Value of a Facebooker?".
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  1. Tommy Liu from Supercool Creative, May 6, 2009 at 5:55 p.m.

    This could be huge for marketers - being able to see the value of their work as to which marketing tactics are substantially beneficial and which are best scrapped. This can lead to more efficient marketing and reaching a more targeted audience. Thanks for the post, I will reference it for my news roundup blog post on Friday.

    Supercool Creative > http://www.supercoolcreative.com > http://www.gettingspotted.com

  2. Frank Brauer from Frank Brauer, May 7, 2009 at 7:40 p.m.

    In the case that you have missed it. The IAB has just released Social "Social Media Ad Metrics". These do consider factors like influence and reputation. You find the sources by following url:
    http://tinyurl.com/cswn2u

  3. Edmund Wong from iCrossing, May 8, 2009 at 1:24 a.m.

    I'm not sure if the average Facebook user has 500 friends or if 1% can be influenced, but let's assume it is for the moment. $54 is an understatement in this example because of network effects. If you assume those 5 people you've influenced also influence 5 people, then this becomes an infinite geometric series that looks like 9*(1+5+5^2+5^3+5^4...+5^n), where ^ = "raised to the power of" and n = how many degrees of separation you're assuming. Let's assume you're Kevin Bacon and n=6. Then this back of the envelope calculation actually equals $175,779. But even if you use 200 instead of 500, the same scenario equals $1143. Still impressive!

    For other math geeks like me, the formula is 9*Summation Sign (.01*500)^n

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