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by Erik Sass
, Staff Writer,
February 15, 2010
ComScore's year-end report on the state of the Internet sparked a lot of discussion recently about the rise and fall of social networks, specifically with regard to the changing balance of
different age cohorts. The most remarked-on finding was that the proportion of active Facebook users under the age of 24 dipped to an all-time low in the fourth quarter of 2009 (27%), while the
proportion on MySpace increased substantially (to 44.3%) -- check out the graph.

Something about the latter number jogged my memory, and I soon discovered the origin of this déjà vu: it is the exact same
proportion of MySpace users who were under the age of 24 in the fourth quarter of 2005, lo those many years ago.
What happened between 2005 and 2009 was, basically, an influx of older people
(that would be us) who then apparently grew bored of the site or at least stopped using it as much. Thus while the metrics might seem to suggest some gyration in the number of younger users, I believe
that the under-24 set has always been the "hard-core" of MySpace users, who patiently waited out the influx (and subsequent out-flux) of older adults who heard how cool MySpace was and then moved
on... to Facebook, apparently.
But comparing the pattern for the rise and fall of the older demo in MySpace with the developments so far in Facebook, one wonders whether the big increases of
older users on Facebook will display any staying power, or if it is just going to be another fad, like the older invasion of MySpace. For that not to be the case -- meaning, for Facebook's gains in
the older demos to be lasting -- Facebook would have to deliver something demonstrably different and better from MySpace. Does it? If so, what?