Editor's Note: This story incorrectly refers to Nielsen Online Campaign Ratings as the data source for ABC's mobile content consumption growth. The
correct source is ABC's internal data. A separate correction
has been published.
Would it surprise you, once it’s all sorted out, that even with a barrage of online video, that viewing of actual
television content is not down very much at all?
I’m still thinking about that myself. But if you add up all the TV-generated content that can be found on YouTube, Hulu, Netflix,
Amazon and all the others, it just might be that the amount of time spent watching original online video content is just a sliver.
If you fine-line that down to original professional
made-for-online video (rather than user generated content), it’s quite possible that the online video revolution is measurable and significant but not headed-toward-overwhelming.
Someday,
we’ll know. As the largest content generators--the broadcast and cable networks--tilt more and more toward online versions of themselves, the pressure is on Nielsen to create measurements
the largest users and the largest advertisers feel at home using.
They will feel at home using it because it will end up counting viewership exactly what they want it to be counted, which is
what happens when the biggest clients get involved.
Bloomberg.com
reports that the networks think the Internet audience is being severely undercounted, which means a substantial number of viewers watching television over the Internet (on an iPad, for example)
aren’t being counted.
Since traditional TV viewing on the Big 4 is down—by 20% at Fox this year—getting TV audiences counted online is crucial. Lyle Schwartz, managing
director at WPP Plc, tells Bloomberg that an accurate Nielsen count would add as little as 3% but as much as 12% to TV’s ratings. That, obviously, is huge.
Just as
obviously, there ARE numbers for online viewing, from com.Score for one. They’re just not numbers the biggest content makers, or the biggest advertisers, want to use. That’s why
Nielsen’s new efforts to count online viewership, the pilot program called Nielsen Digital Program Ratings, announced at the end of last month, will be significant. It purports to measure
audiences for TV content viewed online from participating networks (A+E, ABC, AOL, CBS, The CW, Discovery Communications, Fox, NBC and Univision that began this month and will go through the end
of July.
That data could be dramatic. Adam Gerber, the ABC vice president of sales development and marketing ,
said in an AdAge story that consumption of ABC content via its existing app surged 71%
from February 2012 through February of this year.*
It seems advertisers always pay a premium to be on legacy outlets—maybe that’s the legacy. They were
probably slow to leave newspapers, and slow to leave broadcasters for cable and still slow to fully exploit Hispanic media. Maybe online just has to wait it out.
*An early
version of this story attributed this statistic to Nielsen Online Campaign ratings, incorrectly. OCR measures ad campaigns, not programs. The 71% comes from ABC's internal data.
pj@mediapost.com