Commentary

Let's Break Up: Sports On Streamers Will Cause Fragmentation

Global streaming platforms are gaining on acquiring sports rights -- now up to 20% of all global TV deal-marketing at $12.5 billion, according to Ampere Analysis.

Netflix and Amazon had a lot to do with this -- Netflix with some key Christmas Day exclusive NFL games and Amazon with a new NBA deal, now boosting its sports visibility adding to the NFL “Thursday Night Football” package of a couple of years ago.

The biggest spender is the London-based DAZN -- which has a 33% share, according to Ampere Analysis, which made a $1 billion deal for the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup event this summer. It has major sports rights that extend all over Europe --- Germany, Italy, Spain, and most recently France.

Amazon Prime Video is next in terms of global streaming sports share -- with 23%, followed by YouTube TV at 18% and Netflix at 5%.

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Sports is pretty much the last stop for legacy, linear TV networks -- with many analysts believing they will help keep legacy TV platforms alive, all because of high viewership.

Other live TV content -- especially news -- is now closer to making a more dramatic shift to streaming perhaps more quickly than sports, especially some TV news networks -- MSNBC and CNN due to less-than-stellar linear TV viewership.

In addition, all major 24/7 news channels are all toying with moving more TV news content to streamers.

At that same time, we see big NFL games are being simulcast on streaming platforms (Peacock, ESPN+, Paramount+) or aired exclusively on streamers (Peacock, and Prime Video).

Some analysis suggests this could lead to greater fragmentation of the TV-streaming ecosystem -- and this might not benefit consumers. Cord-cutting could accelerate beyond its 10% per year, which has been the pace of this churn for the last few years.

But legacy TV network companies have to be slow and vigilant when making transitions. They have yet to see the same profit returns on streaming -- especially when they continue to see higher costs in the coming years.

In the meantime, consumers will become more choosy in what content they truly want to see.

Why? It goes back to the original complaint about pay legacy TV packages: Too many networks.

Research has shown that on average, traditional pay TV viewers -- cable, satellite, telco customers -- only watch at most around 6-10 networks, out of 200 or so networks that consumers do not regularly view.

Legacy TV companies are aware of this, which is why they are trying to find new ways to bundle content.

Growth of sports on streamers will only drive a bigger wedge into the TV-streaming business. More disruption is coming for those that want to play ball.

2 comments about "Let's Break Up: Sports On Streamers Will Cause Fragmentation".
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  1. William Mobley from FreeCast Inc, February 19, 2025 at 8:51 p.m.

    Great article Wayne. Spot on the issues around consumer inconveniences which are driving them to Antennas for local broadcasts games and billion$ in piracy.

    Bundling is not the answer. We believe Opening the Industry Up to Consumer A La Carte Choices and Options.

    Proposed Solution: A Non-Competitive, Agnostic "OmniChannel Streaming Platform" — a unified, à la carte service for TV/Sports entertainment, accessible across all devices without the need for multiple apps. Imagine a "Spotify for TV" that consolidates everything in one place, removing the complexity for consumers, just as Spotify did for music.

    Tall order, we are about 65% fully integrated, yet that lady 36% is the tough run. Ultimately need to make this easy for consumers to access anything and everything from one platform.

  2. William Mobley from FreeCast Inc replied, February 19, 2025 at 8:52 p.m.

    "Last 35%"

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