Flexibility is a growing drumbeat from TV media buyers in this upfront market. Media executives are looking at a
number of ways to get it, which could include
"rolling
options" -- basically, a month-to-month review of deals made previously in the upfront.
Want to keep your upfront media plan for November? You'll need to give four week notice by the
beginning of October. Then you might do it again in December, in January, and so on.
This would operate kind of like local TV, which has typically worked on four- to six-week cancellation
periods. It is just one new upfront element media buying executives have been tossing around.
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If media buyers are serious about coming and going as they please, it would dramatically alter
the way marketers make deals with TV sellers. But there are downsides for everyone.
TV networks could be selling essentially all year round, with fewer clues for estimating current
marketplace conditions. For marketers, it could mean paying higher premiums on shows, with perhaps no -- or limited -- viewer guarantees. Movie media plans typically play with these tools.
Major TV advertising executives -- from ABC's Mike Shaw to Fox's Jon Nesvig -- have long said they are open for business year-round. But in between these messages is an underlying
subtext:"it depends what prices, inventory and other considerations the market will bear."
Some big consumer product marketers, like Unilever and Johnson & Johnson, have been trying
to get ahead of the curve, even if there is some short-term pain. These companies have been focusing more on calendar-year deals, branded entertainment extensions, and new digital arrangements, all of
which means year-round planning and buying.
This marketplace is also complicated by other elements like a still-weak economy and subsequent marketing cutbacks by some companies, as well the
prospect of price rollbacks on TV programming -- anywhere from 2% to 7%.
This has every TV marketer -- big and small -- licking their lips, since markets like these don't happen too often.
But they should be careful what they wish for, since both buying and selling executives can make loud drum noises.