Timesuck. That's what a friend of mine from high school calls Facebook. He is right. Putting aside for the moment any negative connotations that the term might engender, it's certainly an apt
description when you look at the facts. Facebook's hundreds of millions of users spend an astounding amount of time scrolling through its pages, posting comments & photos, "liking" things, sending
messages and, of course, playing social games like Zynga's Farmville, Fishville and Mafia Wars. Although their offerings are clearly more focused on singular tasks, the same could also apply to a
number of other popular social Web services for consumers, from Twitter to Foursquare.
Many folks in the media industry look at Facebook and think that they are only seeing a short-lived,
youth-based social communications phenomenon -- maybe the CB radio of the 21st Century -- not a revolution in the entertainment industry. They are wrong. I believe that Facebook and other
social Web services are going to dramatically change the landscape -- and economics -- of the media and entertainment industries. Here's why:
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Enormous reach and engagement.
The numbers say it all. Facebook has hundreds of millions of members (many inactive, but enough active to constitute a massive audience) and, according to Nielsen, those in the U.S. spent an
incredible 13.9 billion minutes per month on the site in the middle of last year.
Middle America is onboard. I grew up in small coal town in the mountains of western
Pennsylvania. My high school classmates are all over Facebook, and Zynga. This is not a coastal or newbie fad. Social web services are now mainstream. When it was first introduced, Facebook was all
about high school and college students, but now it captures nearly every demographic -- and in sizeable numbers.
Time is money. Today, the amount of money that consumers
and advertisers spend on social Web services is quite small relative to the broad media and entertainment industries; only a few billion dollars, probably. However, the time that they are spending on
Facebook is time that they are not deeply engaged in other leisure activities that they or advertisers used to pay for.
User engagement and attention. Facebook and other
social Web services are not passive "background" media, like radio. When people are using Facebook, they are very engaged with it and are constantly interacting with others. It owns their attention
(unless of course they are teenagers, then four or five things can own their attention at a given moment). The time they spend there is time that they could be spending with many other types of
paid media, but are not.
Can Facebook make other media better? I don't believe that Facebook and other social Web services are in a battle to the death for the hearts and
minds of leisure and entertainment consumers. No, actually I believe that those media that "get it" will find social media services to be enormous catalysts and platforms for future growth.
Just look at television. Facebook and Twitter are already having a significant positive impact on the ratings of television shows, enabling friends to tell each other about shows they like
and are watching. It is truly the new "water cooler" for the industry, and many companies in the space are adopting it.
What do you think? Is todays's Timesuck the Warner Brothers, CBS or
American Telephone & Telegraph of tomorrow?