Magazine Ad Pages Edge Up in 1Q

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The consumer magazine business continued its modest recovery in the first quarter of this year, according to the latest figures from the Publishers Information Bureau. Total ad pages increased 2.5% from 34,885 in the first three months of 2010 to 35,755 during the same period of 2011. Total rate-card revenue increased 6.1% from $4 billion to $4.3 billion.

This marks the fourth consecutive quarter to see both ad pages and revenue increase since the industry turned a corner in the second quarter of 2010.

Ad pages -- often considered the more reliable measure of the industry's vitality, since publishers often offer discounts from official rate-card revenue -- grew in seven of the 12 major ad categories, including toiletries and cosmetics; drugs and remedies; apparel and accessories; media and advertising; automotive, financial, insurance, and real estate; and technology.

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The continuing year-over-year growth is undoubtedly good news for consumer magazines, following a steep downturn from 2007-2009 and continuing into the first quarter of 2010.

However, the medium still has a lot of lost ground to make up before it returns to pre-recession levels. The PIB's first-quarter ad page figure is down about 33% from the first quarter of 2006, when the industry org reported 53,084 ad pages. (This decrease also reflects the closure of a number of titles since then.)

The most recent ad forecast from Magna Global has worldwide magazine ad revenues increasing at a cumulative annual growth rate of just 0.1% from 2011-2016. Similarly, another forecast from ZenithOptimedia has worldwide magazine ad revenues declining 1.1% from 2010-2011, then basically stagnating with a 0.1% increase in 2012.

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