Commentary

Radio Listeners And Revenues Grow

Compared to the Arbitron estimates from one year ago, network radio increased its weekly reach among persons aged 12 and older by more than 1.9 million listeners, according to theRadar 109 Cume audience estimates

The June 2011 report saw an increase in key demographics reached by network radio over the same period last year, with adults aged 18 to 49 and adults aged 25 to 54 gaining more than half a million listeners. 

Demographics Reached by Network Radio

Demographic

RADAR 105(June 2010)

RADAR 109(June 2011)

Change(000)

Reach (000)

Reach Rating

Reach (000)

Reach Rating

Persons 12+

189,990

73.8

191,891

74.0

1,901

Adults 18+

172,706

74.3

174,299

74.3

1,593

Adults 35+

119,360

73.7

120,238

73.4

878

Adults 18-49

103,336

76.5

103,841

77.0

505

Adults 25-54

97,489

76.9

97,992

77.2

503

Source: Arbitron RADAR, August 2011

And, according to the Radio Advertising Bureau, radio delivered its sixth consecutive quarterly uptrend with a 1% increase to $4.581B in Q2. First Half was up 2%, to $8.364B. Results for the quarter were buoyed by Digital, and Network, and for the half: Digital, Off-Air, and Network.

Revenue Comparisons (2011 vs. 2010 In Millions)

Revenue

$Q2 '11

% Chg

 $FH '11

% Chg

Spot

3,722

-1%

6,784

Flat

Network

282

3%

542

2%

Digital

185

18%

334

19%

Off-Air

392

5%

704

7%

Grand Total

4,581

1%

8,364

2%

Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co., August 2011

Growth in Radios sectors for First Half 2011 was through key Automotive, Television/Network/ Cable Providers and Retail categories. Advertisers within the second tier categories, Insurance Companies, Financial and Beverages, bolstered Radio's revenue with significant increases for the quarter and first six months of 2011:

Second Tier Radio Sectors

 

Q2 2011

First Half 2011

Insurance Companies

$187M (+29%)

$399M (+23%)

Financial

 $296M (+11%)

$567M (+4%)

Beverages

 $297M (+10%)

$430M (+14%)

Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co., August 2011

Jeff Haley, RABs President and CEO, notes that "... contrary to... recent market woes... many of the nations largest marketers are forecasting increases in media expenditures through the end of 2011... P&G, AT&T and Coca-Cola have all reported upcoming campaign support for various products...  Fiat is reintroducing its vehicles to the U.S.... "

RadioS Top Five Radio Revenue Categories (Second Quarter 2011; Spot Sending)

·      Communications/Cellular $341M

·      Auto Dealers/Dealer Groups/Manufacturers $330M

·      Restaurants $317M

·      Television/Networks/Cable Providers $305M

·      Beverages $270M

Comcast Cable takes the lead among Spot Radio advertisers for Q2 2011:

Q2 2011 Leading Advertisers (Spot Radio; Approximate $ in Millions)

Advertiser

Ad Dollars (MM)

Comcast Cable

$91

McDonalds

88

AT&T

85

Verizon Wireless

82

Walmart

65

Safeway

60

Coca-Cola

56

Chrysler

52

Home Depot

52

Pepsi

81

Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co., August 2011

 

Q2 2011 Leading Growth Categories (Spot Radio; $ in Millions)

Category

$Q2 '11

% Chg

Television/Networks/Cable Providers

$304.7

21%

Beverages

$297.0

10%

Financial Services

$295.7

11%

Insurance Companies

$187.1

29%

Department/Discount Stores & Shopping Centers

$154.0

34%

Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co., August 2011

In the Spot radio retail category:

·      Department & Discount Stores sub-category finished the first-half 2011 at #11 with $246.1M

·      Home Depot continued as the Home Improvement sub-category leader for the quarter and first six months of 2011. $71.5M (FH ‘11) maintained the top spot.

·      Walmart remains the retail powerhouse with $4.5M in Q2 and $6.3M mid-year 2011. Walgreens is a close second with First Half at $6.1M (+28%)

Allstate Insurance nearly tripled Radio spending in Q2 to challenge perennial category leader GEICO; the two dominated the Spot category this quarter.

2011 vs. 2010 Spot Radio ($ in Millions)

Advertiser

$FH '11

% Chg

GEICO

$83.0

1%

Allstate Insurance

50.9

370%

Blue Cross Blue Shield

19.9

58%

USAA Insurance

35.9

268%

Farmers Insurance

18.1

34%

American Family Insurance Inc

23.9

113%

AAA Auto Assn. of America

18.8

28%

Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co., August 2011

The biggest Spot spender in Radio for Q2 2011 comes from Comcast Cable, topping the charts at $91.7M, up 58% over same period last year. NBC TV Network, ranked #2 at $24.4M, falls under the Comcast umbrella following the Comcast-NBCU merger in January 2011. These two are also up for the first half at $175.5M (+46%) and $41.2M (+16%) respectively.

Business has improved considerably for the Financial sector since the crisis of 2008 and this is reflected in Radio's 11% Q2 gain in Spot revenue to $295.7M.

Q2 2011 Highlights:

·      JPMorgan Chase rebounded from a lackluster Q1 performance with a 21.1% Q2 increase, to $43.8M and category leadership

·      Visa charged up $22.1M in Q2, up 70% over same period in 2010

·      Major gains came from PNC Bank, Fifth Third Bank, and US Bank

·      Bank of America turned up Radio to $16.8M, up from $1.4M last year

Now in its third growth quarter since Q4 2010, Beverages the fifth ranked category for Q2, 2011 increased spending 10% over 2010 comps with an additional $25.8M.

2011 vs. 2010 Spot Radio (in Millions)

Advertiser

$FH '11

% Chg

Coca-Cola

$80.2

98%

Pepsi

78.8

23%

MillerCoors

56.3

9%

Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co., August 2011

Automotive closed out the First Half as the #1 category, up 9% over its 2010 level to $755M; second quarter comps were off just 6% (to $330) and rank moved to #2.1st Half 2011 Highlights:

·      Chrysler Group LLC Corporate dominates Radio at $101.9M, a gain of 40% over 2010

·      Chrysler Group LLC Dealer Association is 10th overall based on a 29% increase to $21.8M

·      Toyota Dealer Association retains the #2 spot at $62.7M and Toyota Motor Corporation ranks 4th, quadrupling spending to $28.3

·      Combined Toyota spending is up 31% versus 2010

·      Network Radio spending $933K, nearly double FH 2010

·      Dealer Association spending grew among several American brands, including...

·      Chevrolet (+43%, to $28.8M); Ford (+15%, to $25.8M) and foreign makers

·      Hyundai (+99%, to $28.3M), Mercedes-Benz (+28%, to $17.4M), and BMW (+26%, to $16.0M)

·      GMC Motor Corporations spending nearly tripled, to $21M

Communications recaptured Radio top Spot revenue ranking in Q2 while dropping 13% in spending. The improved position was aided by Automotives temporary quake-related issues. The category is headed by Radios #3 and #4 overall spenders, AT&T ($86.4M) and Verizon Wireless ($84.0M).

Many smaller carriers have called for more Radio in Q2 and 1st Half 2011:

Communications 2011 vs. 2010 Spot Radio ($ in Millions)

Advertiser

 $FH '11

% Chg

MetroPCS

82.7

25%

T-Mobile

46.0

217%

Qwest Communications

14.3

226%

US Cellular

17.8

8%

Tracfone

15.9

83%

Sprint

10.1

103%

Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co., August 2011

For the Radio Listener report, please go here, and For additional information, including restaurants, wireless phones, grocery, convenience and clothiers, please visit the RAB here.

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