It’s easy to forget that the TV industry is in a real pickle. We forget because we are spoiled with content like “House of Cards” (Netflix) or “Bosch” (Amazon), and a
multitude of other network and cable shows -- as well as more and more opportunities to consume it all now or later. It seems content creators have never had it so good, and were never as good at
their craft, as they are now. (You MUST watch last week’s episode of “Modern Family,” which was created using Apple products exclusively, but that’s not what made it brilliant.
What made it brilliant was the mirror it held up to our current hyper-connected A.D.D. society.)
But while content is living large, advertising formats still live in the Stone Age. Commercial
breaks are pre-roll. The average spot is still 30 seconds. Endless repetition (in technical media planning terms, “frequency”) within the same program, whether online or off-line, runs
rife. Advertisers, their media or digital agency strategists, and media platform owners have simply transplanted the bullhorn spray-and-pray method of yester-century to the digital age.
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And
yet, despite (or because) of all this, online as well as good old-fashioned linear video content is less and less capable of making money as an advertising platform.
The U.S. TV ad market had
a weak Q3 in 2014, followed by a weak Q4, and is looking at a weak Q1 in 2015. Apparently networks are still doing the upfronts in the U.S., but I am not even going to dignify that relic with any
attention.
According to reports, the U.K., like the U.S. and many other mature markets, is losing TV audiences
at a faster rate than ever before – not because of those finicky Millennials leaving the telly, but traditional heavy users. Cord-cutting in the U.S. is now such a “normal”
thing that tabloids like the New York Postwrite about it.
And if you thought that digital
pure-plays were the winners in this battle, think again. Last week the Wall Street Journalreported that Google’s YouTube is a loss-maker despite having a billion viewers. Netflix is making money, but remember: it does not carry advertising!
As marketers, we need strong media platforms that actually connect and move an
audience. TV -- and before that, radio -- used to deliver that connection. Newspapers also used to deliver that. Now, nothing seems to be able to do that.
So it’s time we completely
rethink the video advertising content model. Or, in Millennial-speak: Who is going to uberize the video advertising model?
After all, there’s plenty of audience out there. So how do we
create better advertising opportunities to reach and connect with that audience? How do we move to something that reflects the data richness, the power of the awesome content, and the proliferation
and diversified reach of platforms available today, to something that might drive revenue for content makers and distributors? To something that advertisers might want to buy?
I do not believe
the answer is programmatic TV. That’s a useful tool once you know when and where you want to buy a particular audience at an acceptable price. But the question I want answered first is, what
will there be to buy? More 30-second spots in prime time and pre-roll? More frequency, in hopes of breaking through the clutter and noise? There has to be a better way!