According to a new survey of more than 4,100 people in the U.S., presented byQuenton Fottrell, and released recently by the Pew Research Center, most Americans expect
warnings about automation advancements to have a negative impact on both the workforce and the U.S. economy. 67% of people are worried, rather than enthusiastic, (22%) about algorithms evaluating
and choosing job candidates, though people are more sanguine when it comes to driverless cars (54% express worry) and robot caregivers (47% express worry).
These findings, shown in the report, suggest workers are fearful of automation:
- 72% of Americans are worried about robots replacing human jobs, more than double the
share (33%) that is enthusiastic
- 77% of people think it’s realistic that robots and computers might one day be able to do many of the jobs currently done by humans
- Only 30%
think it “very or somewhat likely” that their own jobs or professions will be done by robots or computers in their lifetimes
Lead author Aaron Smith, an
associate director of research at Pew Research Center, says “The public is extremely wary about allowing machines to replace human responsibilities and human decision-making. They worry that
even the most advanced technologies can never truly duplicate the creativity and insight of humans.” And, says the report, they also strongly support policies that limit the reach of
automation technologies and that place humans more fully in control of their processes.
76% of those surveyed by Pew expect that economic inequality will become “much
worse” if robots and computers are able to perform many of the jobs that are currently done by humans. And only one-quarter of respondents believe the economy will create many new, better-paying
jobs for humans if this scenario becomes a reality. Additionally, 64% expect that people will have a hard time finding things to do with their lives if forced to compete with advanced robots and
computers.
The highest concentration of industrial robots, says the report, occurs in the Midwest and Upper South of the U.S., according to data released in
August by the Brookings Institution. More than half of the nation’s 233,305 industrial robots are burning welds, painting cars, assembling products, handling materials, or packaging things
in 10 Midwestern and Southern states, led by Michigan (28,000 robots or 12% of total number), Ohio (20,400 or 8.7%), and Indiana (19,400 or 8.3%). The entire West accounts for just 13% of the
nation’s industrial robots.
Finally, the report offers solace for some, by noting that the better a job pays, the less likely it is to be replaced by
automation:
- There’s an 83% chance that automation will replace a job that pays $20 an hour or less, a White House report released last year concluded
- That falls to 31%
for a job that pays between $30 and $40 per hour, and only a 4% chance for a job that pays $40 an hour or more
- Many traditionally blue-collar jobs will be hard to replace, including
carpenters, plumbers and electricians. Composers, artists, health care practitioners, home health aides, elder care specialists, child care workers, engineers, teachers and, finally, human resources
executives are, for now at least less likely to be impacted
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