According to results of a new Gallup poll, twice as many Americans think the U.S. economy will be better rather than worse in 2011. Gallup analysis suggests this could represent either the generally
optimistic nature of Americans, or it could reflect views of a recovering economy.
Americans living in the East and Midwest are a little more optimistic about the economic outlook for 2011 than
those living in the South and West. Americans making $75,000 or more in annual income are slightly more optimistic than other Americans, and Democrats are considerably more optimistic than their
independent and Republican counterparts.
advertisement advertisement 2011 Expectation (vs. 2010) In Terms of the
Economy (Percent of Group) |
| Expectation % of
Group |
Group | Better | Same | Worse |
National adults | 52% | 21 | 25 |
East | 55 | 24 | 21 |
Midwest | 56 | 25 | 18 |
South | 51 | 20 | 27 |
West | 48 | 17 | 32 |
$75K or more | 55 | 23 | 22 |
$30K to $75K | 52 | 21 | 25 |
Less than $30K | 51 | 20 | 27 |
Republicans | 46 | 23 | 31 |
Independents | 50 | 23 | 26 |
Democrats | 62 | 19 | 16 |
Source: Gallup, December 2010 |
Americans are somewhat less positive about their personal economic situations than the economy more broadly. Forty-four percent think their personal situation will be better in
2011, while 16% think it will be worse. Fewer Americans in the West are optimistic about their personal situations than in other regions. Americans making $75,000 or more in annual income are more
optimistic than other Americans, and Democrats are slightly more optimistic than independents and Republicans.
2011 Expectation (vs. 2010) In Terms of Personal Financial Situation (Percent of Group) |
| Expectation % of Group |
Group | Better | Same | Worse |
National adults | 44% | 39 | 16 |
East | 44 | 37 | 18 |
Midwest | 45 | 40 | 14 |
South | 46 | 38 | 15 |
West | 38 | 40 | 19 |
$75K or more | 49 | 40 | 11 |
$30K to $75K | 44 | 40 | 14 |
Less than $30K | 42 | 34 | 24 |
Republicans | 42 | 41 | 17 |
Independents | 44 | 35 | 19 |
Democrats | 46 | 42 | 12 |
Source:
Gallup, December 2010 |
Americans' optimism about the economy parallels their generally optimistic expectations for 2011. This tends to be the case across regions, incomes, and party
affiliation.
This overall increase in optimism was in place prior to the passage of new legislation at the end of the lame-duck Congress and the surge in spending at the end of the Christmas holiday. Recent Gallup Daily tracking results
show that consumers only became increasingly optimistic about the economy as 2010 came to an
end.
On the other hand, the potential fragility surrounding Americans' optimism as they look toward 2011 is reflected by consumers' view of their own financial situations.
Americans express less optimism about their own situations, and this reveals more modest differences across regions, incomes, and party affiliation. This may result from Americans being closer to
their own financial situations and recognizing the relative stability of those situations. In turn, it also suggests that at least some part of Americans' optimism about 2011 is based on their
general perceptions of the overall economic climate rather than their own experiences and expectations about their personal financial situations.
Negative perceptions of current and future
prospects for the US economy, however, declined during the week ended December 26, 2010, according to other recent Gallup data. The Gallup Economic Confidence Index consists of two measures: one
involving Americans' perceptions of current economic conditions and the other involving their economic outlook. Last month's improvement reflects more optimism expressed in both measures.
43% of Americans called current economic conditions "poor." This was slightly fewer than the 45% average poor rating of the first three weeks of the month. The percentage of consumers
saying economic conditions are "getting worse" also declined during Christmas week, to 57% from the 60% average of the first three weeks of December 2010.
Gallup.com reports
results from these indexes in daily, weekly, and monthly averages and in Gallup.com stories. Complete trend data are always available to view and export.
For additional information about the Gallup study, please visit here.