As if it weren't enough that Netflix continues to be the leader among premium streamers -- and in profitability -- one estimate projects that in three years time it will see more growth of nearly 80%.
The report from Pinnacle Investment -- which touted 78% growth by 2027 -- did not provide specific details. But consider that a good deal of Netflix’s increasing potential for growth in revenue and scale will have much to do with advertising. Advertising inventory has a very high profit margin.
During a recent earnings phone call, Netflix executives said while advertising revenues are growing, the company will not be a major revenue producer for some time.
Still, analysts believe its scale and high-quality, in-demand content will help the company to move up quickly -- even amid new streaming ad inventory that will flood the marketplace, specifically from the entry of Amazon Prime Video early this year.
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Where does this leave every other wannabe competitor -- especially those legacy TV network media companies that have internal advertising operations set up from their longtime live, linear TV operations?
Right now, there is ongoing discussion about a merger of linear TV operations -- broadcast and cable TV networks and stations -- as well as with streaming platforms.
Over the last few months, rumors abounded about Warner Bros. Discovery looking to merge to Paramount Global, especially around a Max and Paramount+ bundle and/or merger. Comcast seemingly considered the same for its Peacock and Paramount+ or Max combination.
All this comes with the cash-rich, digital-first companies -- Amazon, Google (YouTube) and Apple -- which still have the wherewithal to grab any and all keys parts of linear TV and now streaming content to obtain major growth: Sports programming.
The most recent NBA announcement this last week included a significant 11-year contract with Amazon's Prime Video.
Figure this in -- that Netflix has thrived without high-level sports content so far, sans the NFL or NBA, and will still grow nearly 80% over the next three years?
All that would seem to make executives at streaming competitors pay a lot more attention.
Wayne, as I keep pointing out, small things---like Netflix's ad business---usally grow at a much faster rate than large things---like Nieflix's ad-free subscriber base. Advertisers are only interested in percant change stats if they help to predict future growth. But they buy on actual audience and if it's still small that will govern the final ad revenue tally for the seller.