Sinclair Raises Q3 Political Ad Revenue Estimates By 18%

With expectations of even bigger record-breaking TV political advertising media spend for all TV stations in 2024, Sinclair Inc. has raised its third-quarter political advertising-revenue estimates by around 18%.

Sinclair -- one of the largest TV station groups -- now expects political ad revenues for the third quarter to be between $140 million and $145 million. Previously, the company was expecting $113 million to $128 million.

Full-year 2024, political advertising is expected to rise by 4% on average from a previous estimate -- $425 million to $438 million. Earlier projections were $401 million to $428 million.

At the same time, Sinclair is projecting slightly lower “core” advertising due to rising political ads.

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Core brands can get “crowded out” due to political marketers who have right to air their messaging at the lowest unit price.

Non-political “core” advertising revenues are now estimated between $285 million to $293 million. Earlier, as of August 7, it was projected to be between $288 million and $300 million.

In July, AdImpact expected political advertising revenues to hit $10.7 billion — up from an earlier estimate of $10.2 billion.

Those expectations broke down with broadcast platforms (local and national) at $5.35 billion, followed by local cable TV systems at $1.93 billion; connected TV, $1.51 billion; digital media, $1.12 billion; national cable TV, $309 million and satellite-provided local media at $102 million.

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