According to new research from Borrell Associates, at the rate digital advertising has grown in 2014, and the rate they’re forecasting for 2015, digital advertising at the local level will grow 42% this year. At that rate it would account for $2 out of every $5 spent by local advertisers. It’s grown to the level of dominance that newspapers enjoyed for years, until the late 1990s.
Growth in Online Ad Spend ($Millions) | |
Year | Ad Spending |
2008 | $12, 225 mm |
2014 | 33,605 |
2015 | 47,808 |
Source: Borrell, January 2015 |
Four types of companies are forming:
But that actually makes three types of companies, says the report. The fourth is Internet “pureplays,” and there are thousands of them. True to predictions, they have gobbled up share at the local level. In 2015, these independent companies will account for nearly three-fourths of all digital advertising, elbowing out local-media competitors who have tried for two decades to use their existing sales forces to also sell digital advertising.
It’s an interesting landscape, and this is how it looks to us at the onset of 2015, says the report.
Total Local Ad Spend By Medium ($ In Millions) | |||
| 2008 | 2014 | 2015 |
Newspaper | $25,733 | $15,802 | $14,628 |
Broadcast TV | 12,092 | 12,055 | 11,014 |
Radio | 14,882 | 10,677 | 10,957 |
Direct mail | 10,599 | 8,321 | 8,067 |
Magazines | 9,782 | 7,811 | 7,295 |
Directories | 9,221 | 6,836 | 6,387 |
Cable TV | 3,496 | 3,580 | 3,763 |
Cinema | 307 | 3,011 | 3,723 |
Outdoor | 1,369 | 1,381 | 1,288 |
Source: Borrell, January 2015 |
This report, a digital advertising outlook for 2015, examines the companies that are apparently doing the best at morphing, and looks at where all the growth is. Several companies are making hundreds of millions of digital revenue but have essentially stopped growing. Others are morphing from traditional media companies into digital-media companies, now getting the majority of their ad revenues from online advertising.
Three years ago, traditional media sold half of all digital advertising. This year, traditional media will only account for 25%, or $12 billion.
Digital Share of Total Ad Revenue (10 Select Public Media Companies) | |
Media | Digital Share |
The Washington Post (all Media) | 37% |
New York Times Co. (Newspaper only) | 26.3 |
The McCatchy Co. (Newspapers) | 25.9 |
Tribune Company (Newspapers) | 18.6 |
Meredith Corp. (National magazines) | 17.8 |
Lee Enterprizes (Newspapers) | 17.7 |
Journal Communications (Newspapers only) | 16.8 |
Gannett (Newspapers) | 15.8 |
American Media (National magazines) | 12.0 |
E.W.Scripps (Newspapers only) | 10.7. |
Source: Borrell Associates, January 2015 |
Gordon Borrell, CEO of Borrell Associates, says "In 2015, independent companies will account for nearly three-fourths of all digital advertising, elbowing out local media competitors who have tried for two decades to use their existing sales forces to also sell digital advertising… “ This said, Borrell points out that traditional print and broadcast media are still a significant market force. At the end of 2014, they accounted for more than two-thirds of all advertising buys.
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