Against the backdrop of TV ratings' continued decline -- anywhere from 5% to 10% -- TV advertising revenues are expected to remain near flat for the third-quarter
reporting period -- partly due to growing advertising inventory supplies.
Broadcast and cable networks are expected to slip just 0.7% in the third quarter, according to MoffettNathanson
Research. The four top broadcast networks will be down 1.2% to $3.06 billion, with cable off 0.4% to $5.11 billion.
This is an improvement over a previous overall TV estimate of a 1.7% decline
for the period.
These revenues come against a sharply lower third quarter with prime-time C3 18-49 ratings -- which was down 8%; and for the first week of the new TV season, off 10% in
prime-time C3 and 8% in total day.
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One of the contributing factors in helping maintain national advertising revenue has been an increase in advertising inventory. Total commercial hours for
advertising-supported cable rose 4% in the third quarter to 38,435; with broadcast networks rising 1%.
AMC Networks was up 11% (to 1,899); Time Warner and Walt Disney each adding 5% to their
cable network groups (2,724 and 1,950 respectively); A+E Networks was up 4% (2,323); Scripps Networks Interactive adding 3% (2,403); and Fox cable networks up 2% (3,089).
Two of the larger
cable network groups witness mostly unchanged ad inventory additions: NBCU up 1% to 5,869 and Viacom inching on 1% to 7,095.
For the broadcasters, NBC added 4% in the third quarter to 214; ABC
gained 2% to 202; CBS was flat at 225; and Fox trimmed 3% to 44.