Sports Betting Forecast To Hit $11B By 2025, Closer Ties To TV Networks Expected

Soaring revenues from the legalized sports betting industry continue to boost sports TV networks -- benefitting from national TV advertising marketing dollars as well as other revenue in closer partnerships and ownerships.

MoffettNathanson Research estimates the sports betting market will increase exponentially in 2025 to $11 billion in revenue, from $1.13 billion in 2020. It is projected to grow to $3.6 billion in 2021 and $15 billion in 2030.

Closer ties between networks and sports gambling operations are expected in the near future.

Fox Corp., for example, owns a modest equity ownership in betting platform Fox Bet. Fubo TV has a partnership deal with the FanDuel Group. Bally’s Corp. has a marketing/brand deal with the Sinclair Broadcast Group.

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Walt Disney owns roughly 5% of DraftKing’s shares, currently valued at $570 million. In addition, Disney’s ESPN has a long-term partnership deal with DraftKings.

“It actually strengthens the brand of ESPN when you have a betting component, and it has no impact on the Disney brand,” said Bob Chapek, CEO of Walt Disney Company. “We necessarily have to seriously consider getting into gambling in a bigger way.”

MoffettNathanson's recommendation goes a step further:

“We think it would be much more interesting and beneficial for [DraftKings] to pursue a formal merger with ESPN if Disney is willing to spin the sports leader out to help improve ESPN’s valuation.”

Now, 17 states plus the District of Columbia have legalized sports betting. Three others have approved sports gaming, but have yet to come online.

Thirty states and the District of Columba are expected to be legalized by 2025. That would represent 61% of the U.S. adult population.

For the last three-and-a-half months -- September 1 to December 12 -- the two major online sports betting operations, FanDuel and DraftKings, have spent a combined $79.4 million -- up from a combined $48.2 million over the same time period a year ago.

Looking at third-quarter revenue, FanDuel has the biggest share of the online sports betting business with 37%, followed by DraftKings at 21%. Other more general betting operations are lower -- BetMGM, 16%; Caesars, 5%, with others at 20%, per MoffettNathanson.

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