Pure-play digital advertising platforms’ growth rate continues to surpass both broadcast TV and cable TV gains.
Digital advertising sales -- excluding those online revenues going to
television broadcasters, newspapers and magazines -- will rise 11% this year to $41.8 billion from $37.5 billion over a year ago, according to Washington, DC-based business advisory firm FTI
Consulting.
By comparison, broadcast TV advertising revenue -- including online revenues that are owned by traditional TV owners -- will rise just 1% to $38.9 billion. Cable TV advertising
revenue -- traditional and online -- will gain 6% to $33.4 billion.
Overall, TV will total $72.3 billion in 2015, up 3% from 2014.
By 2018, digital advertising revenues will continue
to rise at a faster pace than TV, gaining 33% to $55.6 billion. Broadcast TV will grow 17% to $45.5 billion, while cable will climb by 20% to $40 billion.
In 2016, digital advertising will top
direct mail -- getting to $47.0 billion, to direct mail’s $44.2 billion. This year it will top broadcast TV.
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FTI also estimates that all newspapers' advertising revenue -- traditional
and online -- will sink to $18.7 billion this year (from $19.8 billion in 2014). All radio will slip to $16 billion from $16.1 billion; magazines will drop to $12.8 billion from $13.2 billion; and
Yellow Pages will fall to $3.9 billion from $4.4 billion.
In addition to the increase of digital, broadcast TV, cable TV, and direct mail this year versus a year ago, outdoor will also see a
modest hike -- to $7.6 billion from $7.2 billion in 2014.
Concerning digital advertising’s growth, Philip Schuman, senior managing director/co-leader of FTI Consulting’s Media
& Entertainment team, stated: “We believe that effective data-driven targeting, low CPMs and vast inventory, as well as a direct feedback loop that enables advertisers to calculate a return
on digital advertising dollars spent, has enabled them to allocate less to get more.”
Research results come from regression analysis, including data sources from MagnaGlobal, Newspaper
Association of America, Direct Marketing Association and Winterbury Group, and Internet Ad Bureau among others.