Global Ad Composite Rises On WARC Upgrade


For the second time in less than a year, WARC revised its outlook upward for global ad growth this year and next, and posted its first estimate for 2028.

WARC now projects worldwide ad spending will rise 11.9% this year -- 2.2 points higher than the baseline it published last December, and four-tenths of a point higher than its midyear update in June.

WARC also revised its 2027 forecast to +8.4% and published its first 2028 outlook, projecting a 7.9% expansion for that year.

WARC's upgrade comes despite continuing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty across the globe.

"These are unusual times for advertising," notes WARC Media Data Head Suzy Young, adding: "Investment is accelerating even as many consumers face cost-of-living pressures and become more cautious with spending. This apparent contradiction reflects an increasingly uneven economy, where growth – particularly from the AI boom – is benefiting some companies, sectors and consumers more than others."

As a result, MediaPost's worldwide ad spending composite rises one-tenth of a point for 2026, 2027 and 2028 (see below).

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