The relentless rise of Donald Trump has thrown the Republican Party into complete disarray. Potential outcomes for the core of the GOP are looking increasingly dire. As panelists on this
weekend’s “Face the Nation” described it: “Pigs are still in the air here. More to come. They’re launching right now.”
Many Republicans are
standing firm against the front-runner, with members of Congress refusing to support Trump and even actively campaigning to block his nomination.
Mitt Romney, the GOP’s
presidential candidate in 2012, has framed the central battle in his party as “Trumpism” against Republicanism. GOP voters are realistically facing a choice between Trump and Texas
Sen. Ted Cruz.
The irony here: Views espoused by Ted Cruz — and by extension a host of establishment Republicans and Tea Party members — don't fall far from Trumpism. By
isolating Trump, it obscures their suspect policies.
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Gov. John Kasich is on the margins and forcefully told both “Meet the Press” and “Face the Nation” this
weekend that he truly believes in his chances to win the Republican nomination.
Unfortunately for the Ohio Governor, as executive editor of the National Review, Reihan Salam
explained: “It is impossible for him to win. And the idea that he is going to be the one coming out of a brokered convention is just — it just defies comprehension.”
Romney elaborated on what he calls Trumpism. It’s about “racism, misogyny, bigotry, xenophobia, vulgarity, threats and violence,” adding: “I am repulsed by each and
every one of these.”
Whereas Trump does have a plurality of delegates and is likely to arrive in Cleveland with a strong lead, establishment Republicans are by and large not
lining up behind him.
Furthermore, his favorability rating among registered voters is low, at 33.6%, compared to an unfavorable rating of 62.6%, according to HuffPost Pollster. More worrisome
for the GOP, this unfavorability rating has been steadily increasing in the new year.
South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham has said the Republican Party will rupture if Trump is the
nominee: “I believe Donald Trump would be an absolute disaster for the Republican Party, destroy conservatism as we know it. We would get wiped out.”
While Hillary
Clinton isn’t widely liked either, it is difficult to see enough people coming out to vote for Trump in a general election, unless his favorability suddenly shoots through the roof.
It’s almost impossible to fathom what he could do or say for that to happen. GOP leaders have made that calculation and are organizing a concerted effort to block Trumpism from
overriding the “traditional” conservative values of the Republican Party.
They hope to field a candidate they deem able to defeat Hillary Clinton.
Will they be
successful in their anti-Trump campaign? At this point, it’s anyone’s guess, but so far it looks fairly unlikely.
To secure the nomination Trump needs around 54% of the
remaining delegates. Last Tuesday, he picked up 60% of available delegates -- he is solidly on track.