Today's post is about research on the influence of "news influencers." Based on the findings, you might want to take what I have to say with a grain of salt (see data at bottom of post).

They say history is written by the victors. But in today's world of always-on, easily manipulatable media, the phrase should be updated to: Reality is decided by the victors.

This is how it goes with prediction science. There are no crystal balls. For this election, the methods with the best track record mostly missed and some of the newer betting-related sources did better. Here's how each performed.

This post contains sensitive content, which some people may find offensive or disturbing. It's about Donald Trump. Click "read now" if you want to see it.

This post contains sensitive content, which some people may find offensive or disturbing. It's about Donald Trump. Click "read now" if you want to see it.